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Italy · Serie A

Inter vs Como

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Nov 8
📊 Our Prediction
Over 1.5 Goals
50% confidence
Inter 49.6% Draw 24.3% Como 26.1%
Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
77%
▸ Show 1 alternative
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
76%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 77.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Como: 15 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.67 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5 Goals probability
77.1%
Chance of 2+ total goals
Inter high-scoring games
66.7%
Recent matches with 3+ goals
Como high-scoring games
66.7%
Recent matches with 3+ goals
Inter
W L W W W W
Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.83
Como
W W W W W W
Form 6-0-0 Goals 22:4 Scored/game 3.67 Conceded/game 0.67
Head to head · last 4
Inter 4wins ·0 draws ·Como 0wins
Inter 4-3 ComoApr 12, 2026
Inter 4-0 ComoDec 6, 2025
Inter 2-0 ComoMay 23, 2025
Inter 2-0 ComoDec 23, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter win49.6%
Draw24.3%
Como win26.1%
Over 1.5 goals77.1%
Over 2.5 goals99.2%
Over 3.5 goals31.0%
Both teams to score97.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Teams Score (GG)
91.7%
BTTS & Over 2.5
90.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
89.6%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.593.7%
Goal in Both Halves93.7%
Home or Away (12)82.8%
Home or Draw (1X)65.0%
Draw No Bet - Home60.3%
Home Win50.0%
Draw or Away (X2)47.8%
Draw No Bet - Away39.7%
Away Win32.9%
Draw15.0%
Exactly 1 Goal0.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals97.7%
Over 1.5 Goals97.1%
Over 2.5 Goals94.9%
Over 3.5 Goals89.6%
4+ Goals89.6%
Over 4.5 Goals80.5%
Over 5.5 Goals67.7%
Total Goals Odd48.9%
Total Goals Even48.9%
Under 5.5 Goals32.3%
Under 4.5 Goals19.5%
2-4 Goals16.6%
3-4 Goals14.4%
Under 3.5 Goals10.4%
1-3 Goals8.1%
2-3 Goals7.5%
Exactly 3 Goals5.2%
Under 2.5 Goals5.1%
Under 1.5 Goals2.9%
1-2 Goals2.9%
Under 0.5 Goals2.3%
Exactly 2 Goals2.2%
Exactly 0 Goals0.1%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score95.6%
Away Team to Score93.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)91.7%
No Both Teams Score (NG)8.3%
Home Clean Sheet4.1%
Home Win to Nil4.0%
Away Clean Sheet2.2%
Away Win to Nil2.1%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.595.6%
Away Over 0.593.8%
Home Over 1.587.2%
Away Over 1.580.8%
Home Over 2.571.2%
Home 3+ Goals71.2%
Away Over 2.560.2%
Away 3+ Goals60.2%
Away Exactly 220.6%
Home Exactly 216.0%
Away Exactly 112.9%
Home Exactly 18.4%
Away Exactly 04.1%
Home Exactly 02.2%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.1%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.6%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.9%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.0%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.8%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.8%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.9%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.7%
Home to win by 3+21.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.1%
Home to win by 115.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.1%
Home to win by 213.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.7%
Away to win by 112.7%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.0%
Away to win by 3+11.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.2%
Away to win by 29.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.7%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.590.5%
Home & Over 2.549.0%
Home & BTTS46.0%
Away & Over 2.532.1%
Away & BTTS30.7%
Draw & BTTS14.9%
Draw & Over 2.513.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.54.3%
Home & No BTTS4.0%
Away & No BTTS2.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.51.9%
Draw & Under 2.51.2%
BTTS & Under 2.51.1%
Home & Under 2.51.0%
Away & Under 2.50.8%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.595.7%
HT Over 1.582.2%
HT Both Teams Score62.4%
2nd Half More Goals52.8%
HT Home Win44.3%
HT/FT Home/Home34.6%
HT Away Win32.3%
1st Half More Goals32.3%
HT Draw23.4%
HT/FT Away/Away21.1%
HT Under 1.517.8%
Equal Goals Each Half14.9%
HT/FT Draw/Home10.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%
HT/FT Away/Home6.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%
HT/FT Home/Away4.6%
HT Under 0.54.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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