Italy · Serie A

Inter vs Parma

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Inter 78.8% Draw 14.3% Parma 6.8%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Inter: 13 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Inter

D W L W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:10 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Parma

W L D L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 4

Inter 3wins ·1 draws ·Parma 0wins

Inter 2-0 ParmaMay 3, 2026

Inter 2-0 ParmaJan 7, 2026

Inter 2-2 ParmaApr 5, 2025

Inter 3-1 ParmaDec 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter win78.8%

Draw14.3%

Parma win6.8%

Over 1.5 goals81.5%

Over 2.5 goals88.3%

Over 3.5 goals37.6%

Both teams to score47.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

92.0%

Home or Away (12)

91.6%

Home Win

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.4%

Home or Draw (1X)95.3%

Home or Away (12)91.6%

Home Win88.3%

Both Halves Over 0.578.6%

Goal in Both Halves78.6%

Draw or Away (X2)10.3%

Draw7.0%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Draw No Bet - Away3.6%

Away Win3.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.0%

Over 2.5 Goals80.1%

Under 5.5 Goals73.3%

Over 3.5 Goals62.7%

4+ Goals62.7%

Under 4.5 Goals56.5%

Total Goals Even49.4%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-4 Goals48.4%

Over 4.5 Goals43.5%

Under 3.5 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals36.6%

1-3 Goals34.7%

2-3 Goals29.3%

Over 5.5 Goals26.7%

Under 2.5 Goals19.9%

Exactly 3 Goals17.4%

1-2 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.1%

Home Clean Sheet49.5%

Away Team to Score49.1%

Home Win to Nil48.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.1%

Home Over 2.570.3%

Home 3+ Goals70.3%

Away Exactly 049.5%

Away Over 0.549.1%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 216.8%

Away Over 1.515.0%

Away Exactly 211.8%

Home Exactly 19.1%

Away Over 2.53.2%

Away 3+ Goals3.2%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)88.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away77.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home74.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away61.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home56.4%

Home to win by 3+56.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away42.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home37.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away23.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 218.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 12.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.575.3%

Home & No BTTS48.2%

BTTS & Over 2.544.8%

Home & BTTS40.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.3%

Home & Under 2.513.0%

Draw & BTTS5.8%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.1%

Draw & Over 2.52.7%

Away & Over 2.52.1%

Away & BTTS2.1%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.2%

HT Home Win71.7%

HT/FT Home/Home69.8%

HT Over 1.558.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.9%

HT Both Teams Score21.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT Under 0.513.8%

HT Away Win6.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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