UEFA Champions League

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 21

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

65% confidence

Inter 64.5% Draw 13.4% Shakhtar Donetsk 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 93%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Inter win at 64.5%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Inter: 10 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Inter win

64.5%

1X2 model probability

Draw

13.4%

1X2 model probability

Shakhtar Donetsk win

22.1%

1X2 model probability

Inter

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 17:12 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 2

Shakhtar Donetsk

W D L L

Form 1-1-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter win64.5%

Draw13.4%

Shakhtar Donetsk win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.6%

Over 2.5 goals97.7%

Over 3.5 goals93.3%

Both teams to score93.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

Away Team to Score

90.3%

Away Over 0.5

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.7%

Goal in Both Halves94.7%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home or Draw (1X)74.5%

Draw No Bet - Home74.5%

Home Win61.9%

Draw or Away (X2)33.8%

Draw No Bet - Away25.5%

Away Win21.2%

Draw12.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals93.5%

Over 3.5 Goals89.3%

4+ Goals89.3%

Over 4.5 Goals81.6%

Over 5.5 Goals70.2%

Total Goals Even47.9%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Under 5.5 Goals29.8%

Under 4.5 Goals18.4%

2-4 Goals13.6%

3-4 Goals11.9%

Under 3.5 Goals10.7%

Under 2.5 Goals6.5%

1-3 Goals6.3%

2-3 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 3 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals2.2%

Exactly 2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score90.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.7%

Home Clean Sheet5.4%

Home Win to Nil5.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 0.590.3%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Home Over 2.578.4%

Home 3+ Goals78.4%

Away Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 2.552.4%

Away 3+ Goals52.4%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Away Exactly 115.5%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 05.4%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.6%

Home to win by 3+32.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 26.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.8%

Away to win by 3+5.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.588.5%

Home & Over 2.561.0%

Home & BTTS56.5%

Away & Over 2.520.7%

Away & BTTS20.1%

Draw & BTTS12.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.8%

Home & No BTTS5.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Draw & Under 2.50.9%

BTTS & Under 2.50.8%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.4%

HT Over 1.584.4%

HT Both Teams Score63.0%

HT Home Win54.3%

2nd Half More Goals53.2%

HT/FT Home/Home46.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Away Win24.3%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Under 1.515.6%

Equal Goals Each Half14.5%

HT/FT Away/Away13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.3%

HT/FT Away/Home6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT Under 0.53.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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