Italy · Serie A

Inter vs Udinese

Kick-off 19:45 · Mon, Sep 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Inter 74.8% Draw 15.5% Udinese 9.6%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Inter: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.8%

Exact-score model probability

Inter

L W W W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Udinese

L W D L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Inter 4wins ·0 draws ·Udinese 1wins

Inter 1-0 UdineseJan 17, 2026

Inter 1-2 UdineseAug 31, 2025

Inter 2-1 UdineseMar 30, 2025

Inter 3-2 UdineseSep 28, 2024

Inter 2-1 UdineseApr 8, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Inter win74.8%

Draw15.5%

Udinese win9.6%

Over 1.5 goals84.2%

Over 2.5 goals87.7%

Over 3.5 goals42.2%

Both teams to score79.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

86.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

84.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

84.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Home or Draw (1X)82.8%

Draw No Bet - Home79.9%

Both Halves Over 0.578.3%

Goal in Both Halves78.3%

Home Win66.9%

Draw or Away (X2)32.8%

Draw No Bet - Away20.1%

Away Win16.9%

Draw15.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.9%

Over 2.5 Goals80.9%

Under 5.5 Goals72.7%

Over 3.5 Goals63.4%

4+ Goals63.4%

Under 4.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-4 Goals48.8%

Over 4.5 Goals44.2%

3-4 Goals36.8%

Under 3.5 Goals36.6%

1-3 Goals35.1%

2-3 Goals29.6%

Over 5.5 Goals27.3%

Under 2.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score76.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.5%

Home Clean Sheet23.0%

Home Win to Nil21.8%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.4%

Away Over 0.576.6%

Home Over 2.555.4%

Home 3+ Goals55.4%

Away Over 1.542.9%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Away Exactly 224.7%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Exactly 023.0%

Away Over 2.518.2%

Away 3+ Goals18.2%

Home Exactly 115.8%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away70.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home29.1%

Home to win by 3+29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 19.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 24.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.1%

Home & Over 2.557.9%

Home & BTTS45.1%

Home & No BTTS21.8%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.8%

Away & Over 2.513.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.4%

Away & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Home & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Over 1.558.6%

HT Home Win52.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT/FT Home/Home46.3%

HT Under 1.541.4%

HT Both Teams Score35.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT Away Win18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.2%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT/FT Away/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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