Brazil · Serie A

Internacional vs Atletico-MG

Kick-off 22:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

40% confidence

Internacional 36.9% Draw 23.2% Atletico-MG 39.9%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Atletico-MG: 3 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Internacional

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:8 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Atletico-MG

W D W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Internacional win36.9%

Draw23.2%

Atletico-MG win39.9%

Over 1.5 goals90.8%

Over 2.5 goals74.0%

Over 3.5 goals53.8%

Both teams to score74.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.9%

Both Halves Over 0.572.5%

Goal in Both Halves72.5%

Draw or Away (X2)62.0%

Home or Draw (1X)59.0%

Draw No Bet - Away51.9%

Draw No Bet - Home48.1%

Away Win40.9%

Home Win37.9%

Draw21.1%

Exactly 1 Goal8.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals80.7%

Over 2.5 Goals74.0%

Under 4.5 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals55.4%

Over 3.5 Goals53.8%

4+ Goals53.8%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals46.2%

1-3 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals35.9%

Over 4.5 Goals34.3%

Under 2.5 Goals26.0%

1-2 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.3%

Exactly 2 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.0%

Home Team to Score84.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.0%

Away Clean Sheet15.1%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Away Win to Nil13.0%

Home Win to Nil11.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.0%

Home Over 0.584.9%

Away Over 1.558.5%

Home Over 1.556.3%

Away Over 2.531.4%

Away 3+ Goals31.4%

Home Over 2.529.4%

Home 3+ Goals29.4%

Home Exactly 128.5%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 015.1%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.2%

Away to win by 212.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 211.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.3%

Away to win by 3+10.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.9%

Home to win by 3+8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.1%

Away & Over 2.532.7%

Home & Over 2.530.2%

Away & BTTS27.9%

Home & BTTS26.1%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.1%

Away & No BTTS13.0%

Home & No BTTS11.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.1%

Draw & Under 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.58.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & Under 2.57.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.4%

HT Over 1.551.8%

HT Under 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT Away Win34.1%

HT Both Teams Score33.7%

HT Draw33.6%

HT Home Win32.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Away/Away25.3%

HT/FT Home/Home23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT Under 0.517.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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