Brazil · Serie A

Internacional vs Botafogo

Kick-off 20:30 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Internacional 74.9% Draw 16.8% Botafogo 8.3%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Botafogo: 7 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.5%

Exact-score model probability

Internacional

L D W L W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Botafogo

W D D L W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Internacional win74.9%

Draw16.8%

Botafogo win8.3%

Over 1.5 goals85.7%

Over 2.5 goals65.1%

Over 3.5 goals43.1%

Both teams to score51.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.7%

Draw No Bet - Home89.2%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home Win75.7%

Both Halves Over 0.565.6%

Goal in Both Halves65.6%

Draw or Away (X2)24.2%

Draw15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.7%

Draw No Bet - Away10.8%

Away Win9.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals75.4%

Over 2.5 Goals65.0%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 3.5 Goals57.0%

1-3 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.0%

4+ Goals43.0%

2-3 Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.0%

1-2 Goals31.4%

Over 4.5 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals15.3%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.2%

Away Team to Score54.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.8%

Home Clean Sheet45.5%

Home Win to Nil42.1%

Away Clean Sheet7.7%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.2%

Home Over 1.572.5%

Away Over 0.554.3%

Home Over 2.547.3%

Home 3+ Goals47.3%

Away Exactly 045.5%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Home Exactly 225.3%

Home Exactly 119.7%

Away Over 1.518.6%

Away Exactly 214.0%

Home Exactly 07.7%

Away Over 2.54.5%

Away 3+ Goals4.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.6%

Home to win by 3+32.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 221.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 16.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.2%

BTTS & Over 2.543.1%

Home & No BTTS42.1%

Home & BTTS33.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.9%

Home & Under 2.520.5%

Draw & BTTS11.5%

Draw & Under 2.510.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & Over 2.55.4%

Away & BTTS5.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.53.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.9%

HT Home Win56.6%

HT Under 1.555.5%

HT/FT Home/Home52.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.5%

HT Draw32.1%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.1%

HT Both Teams Score20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT Away Win11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

HT/FT Away/Away4.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners69.5%

Under 11.5 Corners66.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners58.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners57.4%

Over 9.5 Corners57.3%

Under 10.5 Corners55.2%

Over 10.5 Corners44.8%

Home Most Corners44.7%

Under 9.5 Corners42.7%

Away Most Corners42.7%

Over 11.5 Corners33.2%

Under 8.5 Corners30.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.1%

Over 3.5 Cards71.1%

Under 5.5 Cards64.5%

Over 4.5 Cards53.0%

Under 4.5 Cards47.0%

Over 5.5 Cards35.5%

Under 3.5 Cards28.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.3%

Under 2.5 Cards13.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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