England · Premier League

Ipswich vs Bournemouth

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Ipswich 26.1% Draw 24.2% Bournemouth 49.7%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bournemouth: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Ipswich

D D L W L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Bournemouth

W W W L L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Ipswich 1wins ·0 draws ·Bournemouth 1wins

Ipswich 2-1 BournemouthApr 2, 2025

Ipswich 1-2 BournemouthDec 8, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ipswich win26.1%

Draw24.2%

Bournemouth win49.7%

Over 1.5 goals83.8%

Over 2.5 goals94.3%

Over 3.5 goals39.8%

Both teams to score90.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.0%

Goal in Both Halves84.0%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Home or Draw (1X)68.4%

Draw No Bet - Home61.8%

Home Win50.6%

Draw or Away (X2)49.1%

Draw No Bet - Away38.2%

Away Win31.3%

Draw17.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.5%

Over 3.5 Goals73.7%

4+ Goals73.7%

Under 5.5 Goals61.3%

Over 4.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals43.8%

2-4 Goals39.5%

Over 5.5 Goals38.7%

3-4 Goals31.3%

Under 3.5 Goals26.3%

1-3 Goals25.4%

2-3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 3 Goals13.8%

Under 2.5 Goals12.5%

1-2 Goals11.5%

Exactly 2 Goals8.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.6%

Away Team to Score89.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.4%

Home Clean Sheet10.7%

Home Win to Nil10.0%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil5.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.6%

Away Over 0.589.0%

Home Over 1.576.6%

Away Over 1.565.1%

Home Over 2.552.8%

Home 3+ Goals52.8%

Away Over 2.538.5%

Away 3+ Goals38.5%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 123.9%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Home Exactly 117.0%

Away Exactly 010.7%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.5%

Home to win by 3+18.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 114.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 29.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.0%

Away to win by 3+8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.5%

Home & Over 2.546.2%

Home & BTTS40.6%

Away & Over 2.528.2%

Away & BTTS25.9%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

Home & No BTTS10.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS5.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

Home & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.6%

HT Over 1.566.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Both Teams Score45.4%

HT Home Win42.2%

HT Under 1.533.9%

HT/FT Home/Home33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win29.5%

HT Draw28.3%

HT/FT Away/Away19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.6%

HT Under 0.510.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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