England · Premier League

Ipswich vs Fulham

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Ipswich 25.0% Draw 27.6% Fulham 47.4%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

79%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Ipswich: 9 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.3%

Exact-score model probability

Ipswich

L W L L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Fulham

D D L L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Ipswich 0wins ·2 draws ·Fulham 0wins

Ipswich 2-2 FulhamJan 5, 2025

Ipswich 1-1 FulhamAug 31, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ipswich win25.0%

Draw27.6%

Fulham win47.4%

Over 1.5 goals75.9%

Over 2.5 goals60.4%

Over 3.5 goals28.0%

Both teams to score56.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.7%

Home or Draw (1X)76.9%

Draw No Bet - Home70.3%

Both Halves Over 0.561.2%

Goal in Both Halves61.2%

Home Win54.6%

Draw or Away (X2)45.4%

Draw No Bet - Away29.7%

Away Win23.1%

Draw22.2%

Exactly 1 Goal14.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals81.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.4%

1-3 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.2%

Under 2.5 Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals37.1%

4+ Goals37.1%

1-2 Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals18.8%

Over 5.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.2%

Away Team to Score69.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.3%

Home Clean Sheet31.0%

Home Win to Nil26.4%

Away Clean Sheet14.8%

Away Win to Nil10.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.2%

Away Over 0.569.0%

Home Over 1.556.9%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Over 1.532.6%

Away Exactly 031.0%

Home Over 2.529.9%

Home 3+ Goals29.9%

Home Exactly 128.3%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 221.2%

Home Exactly 014.8%

Away Over 2.511.4%

Away 3+ Goals11.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.0%

Home to win by 123.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.9%

Home to win by 3+14.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 114.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.548.5%

Home & Over 2.537.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.3%

Home & BTTS28.2%

Home & No BTTS26.4%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Home & Under 2.517.2%

Draw & Under 2.514.9%

Away & Over 2.514.6%

Away & BTTS12.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Away & No BTTS10.2%

Away & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.0%

HT Under 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Home Win41.2%

HT Over 1.540.3%

HT Draw37.7%

HT/FT Home/Home34.6%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.0%

HT Both Teams Score23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT Away Win21.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT/FT Away/Away13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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