England · League Cup

Ipswich vs Leicester

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Ipswich 42.7% Draw 22.5% Leicester 34.8%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Leicester: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Ipswich

W W L L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Leicester

W W L W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 2

Ipswich 0wins ·1 draws ·Leicester 1wins

Ipswich 0-2 LeicesterMay 18, 2025

Ipswich 1-1 LeicesterNov 2, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ipswich win42.7%

Draw22.5%

Leicester win34.8%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.3%

Over 3.5 goals56.8%

Both teams to score75.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.1%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Draw or Away (X2)65.9%

Both Halves Over 0.564.8%

Goal in Both Halves64.8%

Home or Draw (1X)56.9%

Draw No Bet - Away55.9%

Draw No Bet - Home44.1%

Away Win43.1%

Home Win34.0%

Draw22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.2%

Over 1.5 Goals84.2%

Under 4.5 Goals76.2%

Over 2.5 Goals64.1%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 3.5 Goals57.9%

1-3 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.1%

4+ Goals42.1%

2-3 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals35.9%

1-2 Goals32.2%

Over 4.5 Goals23.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.0%

Under 1.5 Goals15.8%

Over 5.5 Goals11.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.8%

Home Team to Score78.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.9%

Away Clean Sheet21.3%

Away Win to Nil17.7%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil13.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.8%

Home Over 0.578.7%

Away Over 1.552.5%

Home Over 1.545.7%

Home Exactly 133.0%

Away Exactly 130.3%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Away Over 2.525.9%

Away 3+ Goals25.9%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 021.3%

Home Over 2.520.2%

Home 3+ Goals20.2%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 212.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.0%

Home to win by 210.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.9%

Away to win by 3+9.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 3+6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.1%

Away & Over 2.530.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%

Away & BTTS25.4%

Home & Over 2.524.0%

Home & BTTS20.5%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.513.6%

Home & No BTTS13.5%

Away & Under 2.512.1%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.4%

HT Under 1.556.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.543.8%

HT Draw36.9%

HT Away Win34.4%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Home Win28.7%

HT Both Teams Score27.4%

HT/FT Away/Away26.4%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT Under 0.522.6%

HT/FT Home/Home20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions