England · Premier League

Ipswich vs Liverpool

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Sep 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Ipswich 13.2% Draw 18.1% Liverpool 68.6%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Ipswich: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Ipswich

L W W W L L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Liverpool

D D D L D L

Form 0-4-2 Goals 10:13 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 2

Ipswich 0wins ·0 draws ·Liverpool 2wins

Ipswich 1-4 LiverpoolJan 25, 2025

Ipswich 0-2 LiverpoolAug 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ipswich win13.2%

Draw18.1%

Liverpool win68.6%

Over 1.5 goals88.4%

Over 2.5 goals96.7%

Over 3.5 goals49.2%

Both teams to score93.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.3%

Goal in Both Halves88.3%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)70.4%

Draw No Bet - Away65.2%

Away Win54.1%

Home or Draw (1X)45.2%

Draw No Bet - Home34.8%

Home Win28.9%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals97.0%

Over 2.5 Goals91.6%

Over 3.5 Goals81.3%

4+ Goals81.3%

Over 4.5 Goals66.6%

Under 5.5 Goals50.2%

Over 5.5 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals33.4%

2-4 Goals30.5%

3-4 Goals25.0%

Under 3.5 Goals18.7%

1-3 Goals17.7%

2-3 Goals15.8%

Exactly 3 Goals10.3%

Under 2.5 Goals8.4%

1-2 Goals7.3%

Exactly 2 Goals5.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.4%

Home Team to Score90.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)87.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)12.8%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Home Clean Sheet3.9%

Home Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 0.590.7%

Away Over 1.582.8%

Home Over 1.569.7%

Away Over 2.562.4%

Away 3+ Goals62.4%

Home Over 2.544.0%

Home 3+ Goals44.0%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 121.0%

Away Exactly 220.5%

Away Exactly 112.6%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Away Exactly 03.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away70.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)62.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home62.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.5%

Away to win by 3+22.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.0%

Away to win by 117.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 112.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 28.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.8%

Home to win by 3+7.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.584.5%

Away & Over 2.551.2%

Away & BTTS45.9%

Home & Over 2.527.1%

Home & BTTS25.4%

Draw & BTTS15.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.3%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & No BTTS3.5%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Under 2.52.9%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.6%

HT Both Teams Score51.3%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Away Win45.4%

HT/FT Away/Away36.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win28.5%

HT Under 1.527.4%

HT Draw26.1%

HT/FT Home/Home17.8%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Home/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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