England · Premier League

Ipswich vs Nottingham Forest

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Ipswich 29.0% Draw 27.5% Nottingham Forest 43.6%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Ipswich: 6 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Ipswich 0 wins, 0 draws, Nottingham Forest 2 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Ipswich

L W L W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 9:14 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Nottingham Forest

L L L W D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:8 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 2

Ipswich 0wins ·0 draws ·Nottingham Forest 2wins

Ipswich 2-4 Nottingham ForestMar 15, 2025

Ipswich 0-1 Nottingham ForestNov 30, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ipswich win29.0%

Draw27.5%

Nottingham Forest win43.6%

Over 1.5 goals76.9%

Over 2.5 goals94.1%

Over 3.5 goals29.5%

Both teams to score85.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

88.6%

Away Team to Score

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.1%

Goal in Both Halves85.1%

Home or Away (12)82.6%

Home or Draw (1X)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Home66.6%

Home Win55.0%

Draw or Away (X2)44.6%

Draw No Bet - Away33.4%

Away Win27.6%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals96.1%

Over 2.5 Goals88.6%

Over 3.5 Goals75.6%

4+ Goals75.6%

Over 4.5 Goals58.7%

Under 5.5 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals41.3%

2-4 Goals37.4%

3-4 Goals29.9%

Under 3.5 Goals24.4%

1-3 Goals23.4%

2-3 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals11.4%

1-2 Goals10.4%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score88.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.1%

Home Clean Sheet11.3%

Home Win to Nil10.7%

Away Clean Sheet4.9%

Away Win to Nil4.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 0.588.3%

Home Over 1.579.8%

Away Over 1.563.8%

Home Over 2.557.4%

Home 3+ Goals57.4%

Away Over 2.537.0%

Away 3+ Goals37.0%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.5%

Home Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 114.9%

Away Exactly 011.3%

Home Exactly 04.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.0%

Home to win by 3+22.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.9%

Away to win by 112.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.7%

Away to win by 3+6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.3%

Home & Over 2.550.8%

Home & BTTS44.3%

Away & Over 2.525.1%

Away & BTTS23.2%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

Home & No BTTS10.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS4.4%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score46.4%

HT Home Win45.3%

HT/FT Home/Home36.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.3%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Away Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Away/Away16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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