England · Premier League

Ipswich vs Sunderland

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Ipswich 21.6% Draw 31.9% Sunderland 46.5%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Sunderland: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Ipswich

W L L L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Sunderland

W W D D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Ipswich win21.6%

Draw31.9%

Sunderland win46.5%

Over 1.5 goals62.0%

Over 2.5 goals88.4%

Over 3.5 goals15.2%

Both teams to score79.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Both Halves Over 0.584.6%

Goal in Both Halves84.6%

Draw or Away (X2)84.0%

Draw No Bet - Away82.3%

Away Win70.3%

Home or Draw (1X)28.8%

Draw No Bet - Home17.7%

Home Win15.2%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.6%

Over 3.5 Goals74.2%

4+ Goals74.2%

Under 5.5 Goals60.5%

Over 4.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals43.0%

Over 5.5 Goals39.5%

2-4 Goals38.4%

3-4 Goals30.5%

Under 3.5 Goals25.8%

1-3 Goals24.3%

2-3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals12.4%

1-2 Goals10.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score80.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.1%

Away Clean Sheet18.6%

Away Win to Nil18.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.2%

Home Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 1.584.9%

Home Over 0.580.5%

Away Over 2.565.9%

Away 3+ Goals65.9%

Home Over 1.549.4%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.523.4%

Home 3+ Goals23.4%

Away Exactly 219.0%

Home Exactly 018.6%

Away Exactly 111.0%

Away Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away84.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home78.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home64.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away52.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home46.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away35.1%

Away to win by 3+35.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away20.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.5%

Home to win by 18.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.2%

Home to win by 24.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.5%

Away & Over 2.564.6%

Away & BTTS52.3%

Away & No BTTS18.0%

Home & Over 2.513.3%

Draw & BTTS13.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.1%

Home & BTTS12.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Home & No BTTS2.6%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.0%

HT Over 1.566.9%

HT Away Win56.3%

HT/FT Away/Away50.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.7%

HT Under 1.533.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.6%

HT Home Win18.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.4%

HT Under 0.510.0%

HT/FT Home/Home8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Away5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions