UEFA Europa League

Jagiellonia vs Rangers

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

89% confidence

Jagiellonia 32.0% Draw 19.0% Rangers 49.0%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring teams

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 41%

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

85%

Away Team to Score

Rangers scoring form

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Rangers have a strong attacking threat with players like Daisuke Yokota. Jagiellonia lack historical data but face a tough test. Rangers' form gap and scoring rate suggest goals. With Nicolas Raksin fit for Jagiellonia, they may score. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to both teams' scoring tendencies.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 88.9% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring teams

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

88.9%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Rangers high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

41%

Market does not fully agree

Jagiellonia

No recent results stored yet

Rangers

D W L L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jagiellonia win32.0%

Draw19.0%

Rangers win49.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.9%

Over 2.5 goals88.9%

Over 3.5 goals75.4%

Both teams to score85.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.8%

Goal in Both Halves84.8%

Home or Away (12)81.9%

Draw or Away (X2)66.2%

Draw No Bet - Away59.1%

Home or Draw (1X)51.3%

Away Win48.4%

Draw No Bet - Home40.9%

Home Win33.5%

Draw17.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.1%

Over 2.5 Goals88.4%

Over 3.5 Goals75.2%

4+ Goals75.2%

Under 5.5 Goals59.3%

Over 4.5 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals41.8%

Over 5.5 Goals40.7%

2-4 Goals37.9%

3-4 Goals30.2%

Under 3.5 Goals24.8%

1-3 Goals23.9%

2-3 Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals13.2%

Under 2.5 Goals11.6%

1-2 Goals10.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.9%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.6%

Home Team to Score90.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.3%

Away Clean Sheet9.5%

Away Win to Nil8.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.1%

Home Win to Nil5.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.6%

Home Over 0.590.2%

Away Over 1.576.5%

Home Over 1.567.9%

Away Over 2.552.6%

Away 3+ Goals52.6%

Home Over 2.541.6%

Home 3+ Goals41.6%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 122.3%

Away Exactly 117.1%

Home Exactly 09.5%

Away Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home68.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)33.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.3%

Away to win by 3+17.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 213.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 29.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.2%

Home to win by 3+9.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.8%

Away & Over 2.544.5%

Away & BTTS39.5%

Home & Over 2.530.5%

Home & BTTS28.0%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Draw & Over 2.513.4%

Away & No BTTS8.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & No BTTS5.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.4%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.1%

HT Over 1.567.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Both Teams Score46.7%

HT Away Win40.8%

HT Under 1.532.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away31.7%

HT Home Win31.1%

HT Draw28.1%

HT/FT Home/Home20.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.1%

HT Under 0.59.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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