South-Korea · K League 1

Jeju United FC vs Daejeon Citizen

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Jeju United FC 67.9% Draw 18.6% Daejeon Citizen 13.5%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 12 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Jeju United FC

D W W D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

Daejeon Citizen

L W W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Jeju United FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Daejeon Citizen 0wins

Jeju United FC 0-0 Daejeon CitizenJul 12, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeju United FC win67.9%

Draw18.6%

Daejeon Citizen win13.5%

Over 1.5 goals89.3%

Over 2.5 goals71.5%

Over 3.5 goals50.6%

Both teams to score63.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

88.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

86.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.5%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Draw No Bet - Home82.7%

Both Halves Over 0.570.5%

Goal in Both Halves70.5%

Home Win68.7%

Draw or Away (X2)31.1%

Draw No Bet - Away17.3%

Draw16.7%

Away Win14.4%

Exactly 1 Goal9.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.3%

Under 5.5 Goals83.1%

Over 2.5 Goals71.4%

Under 4.5 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals57.1%

Over 3.5 Goals50.5%

4+ Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals49.5%

1-3 Goals46.9%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals37.8%

Over 4.5 Goals31.2%

Under 2.5 Goals28.6%

1-2 Goals26.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 5.5 Goals16.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.9%

Under 1.5 Goals11.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.3%

Away Team to Score67.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.8%

Home Clean Sheet32.6%

Home Win to Nil30.1%

Away Clean Sheet7.6%

Away Win to Nil5.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.3%

Home Over 1.572.8%

Away Over 0.567.3%

Home Over 2.547.6%

Home 3+ Goals47.6%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 032.6%

Away Over 1.530.8%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Home Exactly 119.5%

Away Over 2.510.3%

Away 3+ Goals10.3%

Home Exactly 07.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.8%

Home to win by 3+27.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 219.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 19.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.5%

Away to win by 3+1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.1%

Home & Over 2.554.1%

Home & BTTS38.6%

Home & No BTTS30.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.3%

Home & Under 2.514.6%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

Away & Over 2.510.1%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

Away & BTTS9.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & No BTTS5.1%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.1%

HT Home Win52.3%

HT Under 1.550.4%

HT Over 1.549.6%

HT/FT Home/Home46.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw31.7%

HT Both Teams Score27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.3%

HT Under 0.518.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Away Win16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions