South-Korea · K League 1

Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Jeju United FC 58.1% Draw 23.7% Gimcheon Sangmu FC 18.2%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 58%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 14 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Jeju United FC

W W D W D W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 13:7 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.17

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

D D W W D L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Jeju United FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0wins

Jeju United FC 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCJul 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeju United FC win58.1%

Draw23.7%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC win18.2%

Over 1.5 goals82.5%

Over 2.5 goals59.4%

Over 3.5 goals37.1%

Both teams to score58.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.8%

Home Team to Score

86.7%

Home Over 0.5

86.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)80.6%

Home or Away (12)78.8%

Draw No Bet - Home75.4%

Both Halves Over 0.561.2%

Goal in Both Halves61.2%

Home Win59.4%

Draw or Away (X2)40.6%

Draw No Bet - Away24.6%

Draw21.2%

Away Win19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal14.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals81.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.2%

Under 3.5 Goals63.0%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.4%

1-3 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.2%

Under 2.5 Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals37.0%

4+ Goals37.0%

1-2 Goals36.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals18.8%

Over 5.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.7%

Away Team to Score65.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.3%

Home Clean Sheet34.5%

Home Win to Nil29.9%

Away Clean Sheet13.3%

Away Win to Nil8.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.7%

Away Over 0.565.4%

Home Over 1.559.8%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 034.5%

Home Over 2.532.8%

Home 3+ Goals32.8%

Away Over 1.528.7%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.8%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Home Exactly 013.3%

Away Over 2.59.2%

Away 3+ Goals9.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.5%

Home to win by 123.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.1%

Home to win by 218.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.8%

Home to win by 3+17.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.9%

Home & Over 2.540.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.7%

Home & No BTTS29.9%

Home & BTTS29.5%

Home & Under 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Draw & Under 2.514.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.5%

Away & Over 2.511.9%

Away & BTTS10.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Away & No BTTS8.7%

Away & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.0%

HT Under 1.559.7%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Home Win44.3%

HT Over 1.540.3%

HT/FT Home/Home38.3%

HT Draw37.1%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT Both Teams Score22.7%

HT Away Win18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.0%

HT/FT Away/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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