South-Korea · K League 1

Jeju United FC vs Incheon United

Kick-off 11:30 · Sun, Aug 2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Jeju United FC 16.3% Draw 31.2% Incheon United 52.5%

Over 2.5 - 33% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 68%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 18.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Incheon United: 9 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.2%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

68%

Market does not fully agree

Jeju United FC

W D W D D L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Incheon United

D W W L L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeju United FC win16.3%

Draw31.2%

Incheon United win52.5%

Over 1.5 goals61.2%

Over 2.5 goals32.5%

Over 3.5 goals14.4%

Both teams to score37.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.2%

Draw No Bet - Away75.2%

Home or Away (12)71.9%

Away Win54.0%

Home or Draw (1X)46.0%

Both Halves Over 0.539.8%

Goal in Both Halves39.8%

Draw28.1%

Exactly 1 Goal27.0%

Draw No Bet - Home24.8%

Home Win17.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.3%

Under 4.5 Goals94.7%

Over 0.5 Goals86.6%

Under 3.5 Goals85.6%

1-3 Goals72.1%

Under 2.5 Goals67.5%

Over 1.5 Goals59.6%

2-4 Goals54.3%

1-2 Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even50.9%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-3 Goals45.2%

Under 1.5 Goals40.4%

Over 2.5 Goals32.5%

3-4 Goals27.2%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.1%

Over 3.5 Goals14.4%

4+ Goals14.4%

Under 0.5 Goals13.4%

Exactly 0 Goals13.4%

Over 4.5 Goals5.3%

Over 5.5 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score74.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)64.5%

Away Clean Sheet52.3%

Home Team to Score47.7%

Away Win to Nil38.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)35.5%

Home Clean Sheet25.7%

Home Win to Nil12.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.574.3%

Home Exactly 052.3%

Home Over 0.547.7%

Away Over 1.539.4%

Away Exactly 134.9%

Home Exactly 133.9%

Away Exactly 025.7%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Away Over 2.515.7%

Away 3+ Goals15.7%

Home Over 1.513.8%

Home Exactly 211.0%

Home Over 2.52.8%

Home 3+ Goals2.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)54.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.6%

Away to win by 127.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 113.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.0%

Away to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.8%

Home to win by 23.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%

Home to win by 3+0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.555.6%

Away & No BTTS38.8%

Away & Under 2.530.6%

Draw & Under 2.525.3%

BTTS & Over 2.523.6%

Away & Over 2.523.4%

Away & BTTS15.2%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

Home & No BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.8%

Home & Under 2.511.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Home & Over 2.56.3%

Home & BTTS5.5%

Draw & Over 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.577.1%

HT Over 0.559.5%

HT Draw48.1%

HT Under 0.540.5%

2nd Half More Goals40.0%

HT Away Win37.0%

HT/FT Away/Away32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half30.6%

1st Half More Goals29.5%

HT Over 1.522.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.9%

HT Home Win14.9%

HT Both Teams Score11.6%

HT/FT Home/Home9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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