South-Korea · K League 1

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers

Kick-off 11:30 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Jeju United FC 66.9% Draw 18.3% Pohang Steelers 14.8%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 12 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Jeju United FC

D W W D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 11:6 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1

Pohang Steelers

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 3:11 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Jeju United FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Pohang Steelers 0wins

Jeju United FC 2-1 Pohang SteelersJul 18, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeju United FC win66.9%

Draw18.3%

Pohang Steelers win14.8%

Over 1.5 goals91.3%

Over 2.5 goals75.4%

Over 3.5 goals55.6%

Both teams to score67.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

85.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.2%

Home or Away (12)83.3%

Draw No Bet - Home81.2%

Both Halves Over 0.573.6%

Goal in Both Halves73.6%

Home Win67.6%

Draw or Away (X2)32.2%

Draw No Bet - Away18.8%

Draw16.5%

Away Win15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal7.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.3%

Under 5.5 Goals79.5%

Over 2.5 Goals75.3%

Under 4.5 Goals64.0%

Over 3.5 Goals55.5%

4+ Goals55.5%

2-4 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals44.5%

1-3 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals39.3%

Over 4.5 Goals36.0%

2-3 Goals34.8%

Under 2.5 Goals24.7%

1-2 Goals22.6%

Over 5.5 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.0%

Under 1.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score71.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.4%

Home Clean Sheet28.4%

Home Win to Nil26.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 0.571.4%

Home Over 2.550.3%

Home 3+ Goals50.3%

Away Over 1.535.7%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 028.4%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Over 2.513.3%

Away 3+ Goals13.3%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.0%

Home to win by 3+28.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 219.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.2%

Away to win by 24.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.1%

Home & Over 2.555.5%

Home & BTTS41.2%

Home & No BTTS26.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

Home & Under 2.512.2%

Away & Over 2.511.7%

Away & BTTS10.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.1%

HT Over 1.553.1%

HT Home Win52.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.546.9%

HT/FT Home/Home46.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.6%

HT Both Teams Score30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT Away Win17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.2%

HT Under 0.516.9%

HT/FT Away/Away8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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