South-Korea · K League 1

Jeonbuk Motors vs FC Seoul

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Jeonbuk Motors 58.3% Draw 26.2% FC Seoul 15.5%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 36%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Seoul: 10 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

36%

Market does not fully agree

Jeonbuk Motors

W D L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

FC Seoul

L W W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeonbuk Motors win58.3%

Draw26.2%

FC Seoul win15.5%

Over 1.5 goals73.7%

Over 2.5 goals46.8%

Over 3.5 goals25.3%

Both teams to score47.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

88.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

84.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

84.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.0%

Draw No Bet - Home77.8%

Home or Away (12)76.7%

Home Win59.7%

Both Halves Over 0.551.4%

Goal in Both Halves51.4%

Draw or Away (X2)40.3%

Draw23.3%

Draw No Bet - Away22.2%

Exactly 1 Goal19.9%

Away Win17.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.5%

Over 0.5 Goals92.2%

Under 4.5 Goals88.5%

Under 3.5 Goals74.7%

Over 1.5 Goals72.2%

1-3 Goals66.9%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 2.5 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals45.3%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Under 1.5 Goals27.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.4%

Over 3.5 Goals25.3%

4+ Goals25.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.8%

Exactly 0 Goals7.8%

Over 5.5 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.5%

Away Team to Score55.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)45.6%

Home Clean Sheet44.7%

Home Win to Nil36.9%

Away Clean Sheet17.5%

Away Win to Nil9.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.5%

Away Over 0.555.3%

Home Over 1.552.0%

Away Exactly 044.7%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Home Exactly 130.5%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.525.4%

Home 3+ Goals25.4%

Away Over 1.519.3%

Home Exactly 017.5%

Away Exactly 214.5%

Away Over 2.54.8%

Away 3+ Goals4.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.7%

Home to win by 125.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.5%

Home to win by 3+15.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 111.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.2%

Home & No BTTS36.9%

BTTS & Over 2.534.6%

Home & Over 2.534.2%

Home & Under 2.525.5%

Home & BTTS22.8%

Draw & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%

BTTS & Under 2.511.0%

Away & No BTTS9.7%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Over 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS7.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.568.2%

HT Under 1.568.2%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

HT Home Win42.7%

HT Draw41.5%

HT/FT Home/Home37.6%

HT Under 0.531.8%

HT Over 1.531.8%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Both Teams Score16.5%

HT Away Win15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.0%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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