South-Korea · K League 1

Jeonbuk Motors vs Gwangju FC

Kick-off 08:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Jeonbuk Motors 52.5% Draw 34.4% Gwangju FC 13.1%

Over 2.5 - 22% BTTS - 27%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 23%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Jeonbuk Motors: 5 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23%

Exact-score model probability

Jeonbuk Motors

L D W L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Gwangju FC

D L L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Jeonbuk Motors 1wins ·0 draws ·Gwangju FC 0wins

Jeonbuk Motors 4-0 Gwangju FCMay 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeonbuk Motors win52.5%

Draw34.4%

Gwangju FC win13.1%

Over 1.5 goals49.8%

Over 2.5 goals22.4%

Over 3.5 goals8.3%

Both teams to score26.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.8%

Under 3.5 Goals

91.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.5%

Draw No Bet - Home78.8%

Home or Away (12)68.4%

Home Win53.9%

Draw or Away (X2)46.1%

Exactly 1 Goal31.9%

Draw31.6%

Both Halves Over 0.530.7%

Goal in Both Halves30.7%

Draw No Bet - Away21.2%

Away Win14.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.3%

Under 4.5 Goals97.5%

Under 3.5 Goals91.7%

Over 0.5 Goals80.4%

Under 2.5 Goals77.6%

1-3 Goals72.1%

1-2 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even51.9%

Under 1.5 Goals51.6%

Over 1.5 Goals48.4%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

2-4 Goals45.9%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.0%

Over 2.5 Goals22.4%

3-4 Goals19.9%

Under 0.5 Goals19.6%

Exactly 0 Goals19.6%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Over 3.5 Goals8.3%

4+ Goals8.3%

Over 4.5 Goals2.5%

Over 5.5 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)74.6%

Home Team to Score69.0%

Home Clean Sheet63.3%

Home Win to Nil43.6%

Away Team to Score36.7%

Away Clean Sheet31.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)25.4%

Away Win to Nil11.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.569.0%

Away Exactly 063.3%

Away Over 0.536.7%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Home Over 1.532.7%

Home Exactly 031.0%

Away Exactly 129.0%

Home Exactly 221.3%

Home Over 2.511.4%

Home 3+ Goals11.4%

Away Over 1.57.8%

Away Exactly 26.6%

Away Over 2.51.1%

Away 3+ Goals1.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw29.7%

Home to win by 129.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 111.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.2%

Home to win by 3+8.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.567.1%

Home & No BTTS43.6%

Home & Under 2.536.4%

Draw & Under 2.530.1%

Home & Over 2.517.5%

BTTS & Over 2.514.8%

Draw & BTTS12.0%

Away & No BTTS11.4%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Home & BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Away & Over 2.53.4%

Away & BTTS3.1%

Draw & Over 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.3%

HT Draw53.4%

HT Over 0.552.0%

HT Under 0.548.0%

2nd Half More Goals37.2%

HT Home Win35.0%

Equal Goals Each Half34.8%

HT/FT Home/Home31.5%

1st Half More Goals28.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw25.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.2%

HT Over 1.516.7%

HT Away Win11.6%

HT Both Teams Score7.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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