South-Korea · K League 1

Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Jeonbuk Motors 58.1% Draw 29.0% Jeju United FC 12.9%

Over 2.5 - 34% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 61%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 18.8%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Jeju United FC: 8 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

18.8%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

61%

Market does not fully agree

Jeonbuk Motors

D W D L W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Jeju United FC

D W D W D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Jeonbuk Motors 1wins ·0 draws ·Jeju United FC 0wins

Jeonbuk Motors 2-0 Jeju United FCMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeonbuk Motors win58.1%

Draw29.0%

Jeju United FC win12.9%

Over 1.5 goals62.7%

Over 2.5 goals34.2%

Over 3.5 goals15.6%

Both teams to score35.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

87.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.6%

Draw No Bet - Home80.6%

Home or Away (12)73.9%

Home Win59.5%

Both Halves Over 0.541.2%

Goal in Both Halves41.2%

Draw or Away (X2)40.5%

Draw26.1%

Exactly 1 Goal26.1%

Draw No Bet - Away19.4%

Away Win14.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.1%

Under 4.5 Goals94.1%

Over 0.5 Goals87.4%

Under 3.5 Goals84.4%

1-3 Goals71.8%

Under 2.5 Goals65.8%

Over 1.5 Goals61.3%

2-4 Goals55.3%

1-2 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Even50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-3 Goals45.7%

Under 1.5 Goals38.7%

Over 2.5 Goals34.2%

3-4 Goals28.3%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.7%

Over 3.5 Goals15.6%

4+ Goals15.6%

Under 0.5 Goals12.6%

Exactly 0 Goals12.6%

Over 4.5 Goals5.9%

Over 5.5 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score77.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)65.9%

Home Clean Sheet56.0%

Away Team to Score44.0%

Home Win to Nil43.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.1%

Away Clean Sheet22.5%

Away Win to Nil9.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.577.5%

Away Exactly 056.0%

Away Over 0.544.0%

Home Over 1.543.9%

Home Exactly 133.6%

Away Exactly 132.5%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 022.5%

Home Over 2.518.9%

Home 3+ Goals18.9%

Away Over 1.511.5%

Away Exactly 29.4%

Away Over 2.52.1%

Away 3+ Goals2.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away68.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home31.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.2%

Home to win by 128.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.5%

Home to win by 218.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.8%

Home to win by 3+12.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 111.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.554.9%

Home & No BTTS43.4%

Home & Under 2.532.8%

Home & Over 2.526.7%

Draw & Under 2.523.5%

BTTS & Over 2.523.2%

Home & BTTS16.1%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & No BTTS9.9%

Away & Under 2.59.4%

Away & Over 2.54.9%

Away & BTTS4.4%

Draw & Over 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.576.1%

HT Over 0.560.6%

HT Draw46.6%

HT Home Win40.6%

2nd Half More Goals40.3%

HT Under 0.539.4%

HT/FT Home/Home36.5%

Equal Goals Each Half30.0%

1st Half More Goals29.7%

HT Over 1.523.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.1%

HT Away Win12.8%

HT Both Teams Score11.2%

HT/FT Away/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Jeonbuk Motors win45%

Draw45%

Jeju United FC win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Jeonbuk Motors or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions