South-Korea · K League 1

Jeonbuk Motors vs Ulsan Hyundai FC

Kick-off 11:30 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Jeonbuk Motors 27.3% Draw 27.3% Ulsan Hyundai FC 45.4%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Ulsan Hyundai FC: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Jeonbuk Motors

L L D W D L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Ulsan Hyundai FC

L W W W L D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Jeonbuk Motors 1wins ·0 draws ·Ulsan Hyundai FC 0wins

Jeonbuk Motors 3-1 Ulsan Hyundai FCJul 11, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Jeonbuk Motors win27.3%

Draw27.3%

Ulsan Hyundai FC win45.4%

Over 1.5 goals79.6%

Over 2.5 goals54.8%

Over 3.5 goals32.4%

Both teams to score58.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)75.7%

Draw or Away (X2)71.2%

Draw No Bet - Away62.0%

Both Halves Over 0.557.6%

Goal in Both Halves57.6%

Home or Draw (1X)53.1%

Away Win46.9%

Draw No Bet - Home38.0%

Home Win28.8%

Draw24.3%

Exactly 1 Goal16.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.3%

Under 5.5 Goals92.8%

Under 4.5 Goals83.6%

Over 1.5 Goals78.1%

Under 3.5 Goals67.6%

1-3 Goals61.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.7%

Under 2.5 Goals45.2%

1-2 Goals39.6%

3-4 Goals38.4%

Over 3.5 Goals32.4%

4+ Goals32.4%

Exactly 2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals16.4%

Over 5.5 Goals7.2%

Under 0.5 Goals5.7%

Exactly 0 Goals5.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.6%

Home Team to Score70.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.9%

Away Clean Sheet29.1%

Away Win to Nil23.5%

Home Clean Sheet19.4%

Home Win to Nil13.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.6%

Home Over 0.570.9%

Away Over 1.548.8%

Home Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 1.534.9%

Away Exactly 131.8%

Home Exactly 029.1%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.522.7%

Away 3+ Goals22.7%

Home Exactly 222.2%

Away Exactly 019.4%

Home Over 2.512.8%

Home 3+ Goals12.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home53.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.4%

Away to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 116.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 214.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.3%

Away to win by 3+10.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 28.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.545.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.533.8%

Away & Over 2.530.0%

Away & No BTTS23.5%

Away & BTTS23.4%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Home & Over 2.517.5%

Draw & Under 2.517.1%

Away & Under 2.516.9%

Home & BTTS15.0%

Home & No BTTS13.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Home & Under 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.6%

HT Under 1.562.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.1%

HT Draw39.9%

HT Over 1.537.1%

HT Away Win35.7%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT/FT Away/Away28.6%

HT Under 0.527.4%

Equal Goals Each Half24.6%

HT Home Win24.4%

HT Both Teams Score22.2%

HT/FT Home/Home16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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