Italy · Serie B

Juve Stabia vs Cesena

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Sep 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Juve Stabia 48.6% Draw 21.7% Cesena 29.7%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Juve Stabia

L D W D L

Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

Cesena

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juve Stabia win48.6%

Draw21.7%

Cesena win29.7%

Over 1.5 goals92.4%

Over 2.5 goals77.6%

Over 3.5 goals58.6%

Both teams to score76.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.575.4%

Goal in Both Halves75.4%

Home or Draw (1X)69.3%

Draw No Bet - Home61.8%

Draw or Away (X2)50.5%

Home Win49.5%

Draw No Bet - Away38.2%

Away Win30.6%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.5%

Under 5.5 Goals77.0%

Under 4.5 Goals61.0%

Over 3.5 Goals58.5%

4+ Goals58.5%

2-4 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals41.5%

1-3 Goals39.8%

Over 4.5 Goals39.0%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals33.0%

Over 5.5 Goals23.0%

Under 2.5 Goals22.5%

1-2 Goals20.7%

Exactly 3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals13.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score83.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)75.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.0%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil14.9%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil8.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.583.4%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 1.553.7%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.4%

Home to win by 3+15.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 115.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.2%

Home & Over 2.541.3%

Home & BTTS34.6%

Away & Over 2.524.9%

Away & BTTS22.2%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.5%

Home & No BTTS14.9%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Away & No BTTS8.4%

Home & Under 2.58.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.2%

HT Over 1.555.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.0%

HT Home Win40.0%

HT Both Teams Score35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw32.1%

HT/FT Home/Home31.7%

HT Away Win27.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Away/Away18.4%

HT Under 0.515.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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