Italy · Serie B

Juve Stabia vs Hellas Verona

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Juve Stabia 53.1% Draw 30.4% Hellas Verona 16.5%

Over 2.5 - 35% BTTS - 39%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Juve Stabia: 5 points versus 3 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.4%

Exact-score model probability

Juve Stabia

L D W D L

Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juve Stabia win53.1%

Draw30.4%

Hellas Verona win16.5%

Over 1.5 goals63.5%

Over 2.5 goals35.0%

Over 3.5 goals16.1%

Both teams to score39.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.3%

Over 0.5 Goals

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.9%

Draw No Bet - Home75.1%

Home or Away (12)72.7%

Home Win54.6%

Draw or Away (X2)45.4%

Both Halves Over 0.541.8%

Goal in Both Halves41.8%

Draw27.3%

Exactly 1 Goal25.7%

Draw No Bet - Away24.9%

Away Win18.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.0%

Under 4.5 Goals93.8%

Over 0.5 Goals87.7%

Under 3.5 Goals83.9%

1-3 Goals71.6%

Under 2.5 Goals65.0%

Over 1.5 Goals62.0%

2-4 Goals55.8%

1-2 Goals52.7%

Total Goals Even50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

2-3 Goals45.9%

Under 1.5 Goals38.0%

Over 2.5 Goals35.0%

3-4 Goals28.8%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Over 3.5 Goals16.1%

4+ Goals16.1%

Under 0.5 Goals12.3%

Exactly 0 Goals12.3%

Over 4.5 Goals6.2%

Over 5.5 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score75.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)62.5%

Home Clean Sheet50.5%

Away Team to Score49.5%

Home Win to Nil38.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)37.5%

Away Clean Sheet24.3%

Away Win to Nil12.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.575.7%

Away Exactly 050.5%

Away Over 0.549.5%

Home Over 1.541.3%

Away Exactly 134.5%

Home Exactly 134.4%

Home Exactly 024.3%

Home Exactly 224.3%

Home Over 2.517.0%

Home 3+ Goals17.0%

Away Over 1.515.0%

Away Exactly 211.8%

Away Over 2.53.2%

Away 3+ Goals3.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.2%

Home to win by 127.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.7%

Home to win by 3+10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.553.1%

Home & No BTTS38.2%

Home & Under 2.529.6%

BTTS & Over 2.525.6%

Home & Over 2.525.0%

Draw & Under 2.524.1%

Home & BTTS16.4%

Draw & BTTS15.1%

Away & No BTTS12.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Away & Over 2.56.8%

Away & BTTS6.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.575.6%

HT Over 0.561.1%

HT Draw46.9%

2nd Half More Goals40.5%

HT Under 0.538.9%

HT Home Win37.7%

HT/FT Home/Home33.0%

1st Half More Goals29.7%

Equal Goals Each Half29.7%

HT Over 1.524.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw19.4%

HT Away Win15.4%

HT Both Teams Score12.5%

HT/FT Away/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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