Italy · Serie A

Juventus vs Atalanta

Kick-off 17:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Juventus 43.1% Draw 27.9% Atalanta 29.1%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Head-to-head record: Juventus 1 wins, 3 draws, Atalanta 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

Juventus

L D W W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Atalanta

L L W W D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Juventus 1wins ·3 draws ·Atalanta 1wins

Juventus 1-0 AtalantaApr 11, 2026

Juventus 1-1 AtalantaSep 27, 2025

Juventus 0-4 AtalantaMar 9, 2025

Juventus 1-1 AtalantaJan 14, 2025

Juventus 2-2 AtalantaMar 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juventus win43.1%

Draw27.9%

Atalanta win29.1%

Over 1.5 goals67.4%

Over 2.5 goals68.9%

Over 3.5 goals20.4%

Both teams to score65.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.9%

Home or Draw (1X)72.9%

Draw No Bet - Home64.8%

Both Halves Over 0.561.0%

Goal in Both Halves61.0%

Draw or Away (X2)50.2%

Home Win49.8%

Draw No Bet - Away35.2%

Away Win27.1%

Draw23.1%

Exactly 1 Goal14.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals90.9%

Over 1.5 Goals81.1%

Under 4.5 Goals80.4%

Under 3.5 Goals63.2%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.2%

1-3 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.3%

Under 2.5 Goals40.8%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals36.8%

4+ Goals36.8%

1-2 Goals36.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals18.9%

Over 5.5 Goals9.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.4%

Away Team to Score71.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.0%

Home Clean Sheet28.1%

Home Win to Nil23.4%

Away Clean Sheet16.6%

Away Win to Nil11.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.4%

Away Over 0.571.9%

Home Over 1.553.6%

Away Over 1.536.2%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Home Exactly 129.8%

Away Exactly 028.1%

Home Over 2.526.9%

Home 3+ Goals26.9%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 016.6%

Away Over 2.513.6%

Away 3+ Goals13.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home72.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 122.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 115.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 215.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.3%

Home to win by 3+12.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.6%

Away to win by 27.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.7%

Away to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.4%

Home & Over 2.533.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.2%

Home & BTTS26.4%

Home & No BTTS23.4%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Away & Over 2.517.4%

Home & Under 2.515.9%

Draw & Under 2.515.3%

Away & BTTS15.2%

Away & No BTTS11.9%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Away & Under 2.59.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.9%

HT Under 1.559.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.1%

HT Draw38.2%

HT Home Win38.1%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT/FT Home/Home31.0%

HT Under 0.525.1%

HT Both Teams Score24.1%

HT Away Win23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT/FT Away/Away15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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