Italy · Serie A

Juventus vs Lazio

Kick-off 19:45 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Juventus 49.7% Draw 28.1% Lazio 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Lazio: 11 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.9%

Exact-score model probability

Juventus

D W L D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Lazio

W W D W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 11:4 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Juventus 1wins ·2 draws ·Lazio 2wins

Juventus 2-2 LazioFeb 8, 2026

Juventus 0-1 LazioOct 26, 2025

Juventus 1-1 LazioMay 10, 2025

Juventus 1-0 LazioOct 19, 2024

Juventus 0-1 LazioMar 30, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juventus win49.7%

Draw28.1%

Lazio win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals65.3%

Over 2.5 goals48.0%

Over 3.5 goals18.4%

Both teams to score54.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

85.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.7%

Home or Draw (1X)65.8%

Draw or Away (X2)61.5%

Draw No Bet - Home52.9%

Both Halves Over 0.549.3%

Goal in Both Halves49.3%

Draw No Bet - Away47.1%

Home Win38.5%

Away Win34.2%

Draw27.3%

Exactly 1 Goal21.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.2%

Over 0.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals77.0%

Over 1.5 Goals70.1%

1-3 Goals68.3%

2-4 Goals59.9%

Under 2.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.2%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Under 1.5 Goals29.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.0%

4+ Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Over 4.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.7%

Exactly 0 Goals8.7%

Over 5.5 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.8%

Away Team to Score69.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.7%

Home Clean Sheet30.8%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Home Win to Nil22.1%

Away Win to Nil19.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Over 0.569.2%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 1.532.9%

Away Exactly 030.8%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 221.3%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Away Over 2.511.6%

Away 3+ Goals11.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 121.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 120.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.1%

Home to win by 211.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 29.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.8%

Home to win by 3+5.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.6%

Away to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.9%

BTTS & Over 2.536.7%

Home & No BTTS22.1%

Draw & Under 2.521.6%

Home & Over 2.520.5%

Away & No BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Home & Under 2.518.0%

Away & Over 2.517.9%

Home & BTTS16.3%

Away & Under 2.516.2%

Away & BTTS14.7%

BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.9%

HT Over 0.566.7%

HT Draw44.1%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Under 0.533.3%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.1%

HT Home Win29.2%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT Away Win26.6%

HT/FT Home/Home22.4%

HT/FT Away/Away19.6%

HT Both Teams Score17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions