Italy · Serie A

Juventus vs Napoli

Kick-off 20:45 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Juventus 40.5% Draw 29.1% Napoli 30.4%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Napoli: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Juventus

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Napoli

W D W L L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 15:11 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Juventus 1wins ·1 draws ·Napoli 3wins

Juventus 3-0 NapoliJan 25, 2026

Juventus 1-2 NapoliDec 7, 2025

Juventus 1-2 NapoliJan 25, 2025

Juventus 0-0 NapoliSep 21, 2024

Juventus 1-2 NapoliMar 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juventus win40.5%

Draw29.1%

Napoli win30.4%

Over 1.5 goals64.6%

Over 2.5 goals81.2%

Over 3.5 goals18.1%

Both teams to score78.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

87.5%

Home Team to Score

87.0%

Home Over 0.5

87.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.6%

Home or Draw (1X)70.1%

Both Halves Over 0.569.2%

Goal in Both Halves69.2%

Draw No Bet - Home62.0%

Draw or Away (X2)51.2%

Home Win48.8%

Draw No Bet - Away38.0%

Away Win29.8%

Draw21.3%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.5%

Under 5.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals70.6%

Over 2.5 Goals69.8%

2-4 Goals58.0%

Under 3.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals48.7%

Over 3.5 Goals48.6%

4+ Goals48.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals38.9%

Under 2.5 Goals30.2%

Over 4.5 Goals29.4%

1-2 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.0%

Away Team to Score79.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.2%

Home Clean Sheet20.9%

Home Win to Nil18.1%

Away Clean Sheet13.0%

Away Win to Nil10.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.0%

Away Over 0.579.1%

Home Over 1.560.4%

Away Over 1.546.4%

Home Over 2.533.4%

Home 3+ Goals33.4%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 126.5%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Away Exactly 020.9%

Away Over 2.520.8%

Away 3+ Goals20.8%

Home Exactly 013.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 115.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 214.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.6%

Home to win by 3+13.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 28.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.4%

Away to win by 3+5.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.1%

Home & Over 2.537.6%

Home & BTTS30.6%

Away & Over 2.522.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.5%

Away & BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Home & No BTTS18.1%

Draw & Under 2.511.4%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

Away & No BTTS10.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & Under 2.57.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Under 1.551.8%

HT Over 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Home Win38.7%

HT Draw34.7%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT/FT Home/Home30.8%

HT Both Teams Score30.4%

HT Away Win26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Away/Away17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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