UEFA Europa League

Juventus vs NEC Nijmegen

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Juventus 62.9% Draw 20.7% NEC Nijmegen 16.4%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Juventus: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Juventus

L D W W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

NEC Nijmegen

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juventus win62.9%

Draw20.7%

NEC Nijmegen win16.4%

Over 1.5 goals88.0%

Over 2.5 goals68.8%

Over 3.5 goals47.4%

Both teams to score63.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.6%

Home Over 0.5

90.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)82.4%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Draw No Bet - Home78.5%

Both Halves Over 0.568.4%

Goal in Both Halves68.4%

Home Win63.9%

Draw or Away (X2)36.0%

Draw No Bet - Away21.5%

Draw18.6%

Away Win17.5%

Exactly 1 Goal10.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.8%

Under 5.5 Goals85.2%

Under 4.5 Goals71.7%

Over 2.5 Goals68.7%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Under 3.5 Goals52.7%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals47.3%

4+ Goals47.3%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.5%

Under 2.5 Goals31.3%

Over 4.5 Goals28.3%

1-2 Goals28.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals18.1%

Over 5.5 Goals14.8%

Under 1.5 Goals13.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.6%

Away Team to Score69.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.3%

Home Clean Sheet30.8%

Home Win to Nil28.0%

Away Clean Sheet9.3%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.6%

Away Over 0.569.1%

Home Over 1.568.5%

Home Over 2.542.3%

Home 3+ Goals42.3%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Over 1.532.8%

Away Exactly 030.8%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Exactly 221.3%

Away Over 2.511.5%

Away 3+ Goals11.5%

Home Exactly 09.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.1%

Home to win by 3+23.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.0%

Home to win by 122.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.8%

Home to win by 218.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 110.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 24.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.6%

Home & Over 2.549.0%

Home & BTTS35.9%

Home & No BTTS28.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.2%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Home & Under 2.514.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.1%

Away & Over 2.512.1%

Away & BTTS11.0%

Draw & Under 2.510.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Draw & Over 2.57.7%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.8%

HT Under 1.552.6%

HT Home Win48.5%

HT Over 1.547.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

HT/FT Home/Home42.5%

HT Draw33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.2%

HT Away Win18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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