Italy · Serie A

Juventus vs Parma

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Juventus 63.8% Draw 24.4% Parma 11.8%

Over 2.5 - 27% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Juventus: 9 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.5%

Exact-score model probability

Juventus

W D L W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.83

Parma

L W L L L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 4

Juventus 2wins ·1 draws ·Parma 1wins

Juventus 4-1 ParmaFeb 1, 2026

Juventus 2-0 ParmaAug 24, 2025

Juventus 0-1 ParmaApr 23, 2025

Juventus 2-2 ParmaOct 30, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juventus win63.8%

Draw24.4%

Parma win11.8%

Over 1.5 goals63.5%

Over 2.5 goals26.7%

Over 3.5 goals17.1%

Both teams to score26.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

89.1%

Home or Draw (1X)

85.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.9%

Draw No Bet - Home81.3%

Home or Away (12)75.4%

Home Win61.3%

Both Halves Over 0.544.4%

Goal in Both Halves44.4%

Draw or Away (X2)38.7%

Draw24.6%

Exactly 1 Goal24.2%

Draw No Bet - Away18.7%

Away Win14.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.4%

Under 4.5 Goals92.6%

Over 0.5 Goals89.1%

Under 3.5 Goals81.6%

1-3 Goals70.7%

Over 1.5 Goals64.9%

Under 2.5 Goals61.9%

2-4 Goals57.5%

1-2 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.6%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-3 Goals46.5%

Over 2.5 Goals38.1%

Under 1.5 Goals35.1%

3-4 Goals30.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Over 3.5 Goals18.4%

4+ Goals18.4%

Under 0.5 Goals10.9%

Exactly 0 Goals10.9%

Over 4.5 Goals7.4%

Over 5.5 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score79.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.3%

Home Clean Sheet54.1%

Away Team to Score45.9%

Home Win to Nil43.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.7%

Away Clean Sheet20.2%

Away Win to Nil9.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.579.8%

Away Exactly 054.1%

Home Over 1.547.5%

Away Over 0.545.9%

Away Exactly 133.2%

Home Exactly 132.3%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Home Over 2.521.7%

Home 3+ Goals21.7%

Home Exactly 020.2%

Away Over 1.512.7%

Away Exactly 210.2%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.6%

Home to win by 127.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.6%

Home to win by 3+14.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.6%

Away to win by 110.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.551.1%

Home & No BTTS43.1%

Home & Under 2.531.4%

Home & Over 2.529.9%

BTTS & Over 2.525.9%

Draw & Under 2.521.7%

Home & BTTS18.2%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

Away & No BTTS9.3%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Over 2.55.3%

Away & BTTS4.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.573.7%

HT Over 0.563.1%

HT Draw44.6%

HT Home Win42.4%

2nd Half More Goals41.2%

HT/FT Home/Home38.2%

HT Under 0.536.9%

1st Half More Goals30.1%

Equal Goals Each Half28.8%

HT Over 1.526.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.4%

HT Away Win12.9%

HT Both Teams Score12.4%

HT/FT Away/Away7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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