UEFA Europa League

Juventus vs Rennes

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Juventus 36.3% Draw 20.5% Rennes 43.2%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rennes: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Juventus

L D W L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Rennes

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Juventus win36.3%

Draw20.5%

Rennes win43.2%

Over 1.5 goals95.1%

Over 2.5 goals83.8%

Over 3.5 goals67.5%

Both teams to score81.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.8%

Away Over 0.5

90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Draw or Away (X2)62.9%

Home or Draw (1X)56.0%

Draw No Bet - Away54.3%

Draw No Bet - Home45.7%

Away Win43.8%

Home Win36.9%

Draw19.1%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals83.7%

Under 5.5 Goals68.6%

Over 3.5 Goals67.4%

4+ Goals67.4%

Under 4.5 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.7%

2-4 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals31.4%

1-3 Goals31.4%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.8%

Home Team to Score88.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.2%

Away Clean Sheet11.0%

Away Win to Nil10.0%

Home Clean Sheet9.1%

Home Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.8%

Home Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 1.569.0%

Home Over 1.564.6%

Away Over 2.542.9%

Away 3+ Goals42.9%

Home Over 2.537.9%

Home 3+ Goals37.9%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 124.2%

Away Exactly 121.8%

Home Exactly 011.0%

Away Exactly 09.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.4%

Away to win by 3+13.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 210.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.9%

Home to win by 3+9.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.5%

Away & Over 2.538.6%

Away & BTTS33.8%

Home & Over 2.532.3%

Home & BTTS28.9%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Over 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & No BTTS10.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

Home & No BTTS8.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.3%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Over 1.561.4%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.6%

HT Under 1.538.6%

HT Away Win37.2%

HT Home Win32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.1%

HT/FT Away/Away27.9%

HT/FT Home/Home22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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