UEFA Europa League

Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht

Kick-off 16:00 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Kairat Almaty 57.6% Draw 26.9% Anderlecht 15.5%

Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Anderlecht: 9 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.5%

Exact-score model probability

Kairat Almaty

L L W L W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Anderlecht

L W W W W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kairat Almaty win57.6%

Draw26.9%

Anderlecht win15.5%

Over 1.5 goals71.7%

Over 2.5 goals44.4%

Over 3.5 goals23.2%

Both teams to score45.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.4%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

85.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.0%

Draw No Bet - Home77.6%

Home or Away (12)76.0%

Home Win59.0%

Both Halves Over 0.549.5%

Goal in Both Halves49.5%

Draw or Away (X2)41.0%

Draw24.0%

Draw No Bet - Away22.4%

Exactly 1 Goal21.1%

Away Win17.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.1%

Over 0.5 Goals91.4%

Under 4.5 Goals89.8%

Under 3.5 Goals76.8%

Over 1.5 Goals70.3%

1-3 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 2.5 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.0%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals34.1%

Under 1.5 Goals29.7%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.2%

4+ Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals8.6%

Exactly 0 Goals8.6%

Over 5.5 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.2%

Away Team to Score53.8%

Home Clean Sheet46.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.8%

Home Win to Nil37.5%

Away Clean Sheet18.7%

Away Win to Nil10.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.3%

Away Over 0.553.8%

Home Over 1.550.0%

Away Exactly 046.2%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Home Exactly 131.3%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Home Over 2.523.7%

Home 3+ Goals23.7%

Home Exactly 018.7%

Away Over 1.518.2%

Away Exactly 213.8%

Away Over 2.54.4%

Away 3+ Goals4.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw26.1%

Home to win by 126.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.6%

Home to win by 3+14.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.0%

Away to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.9%

Away to win by 23.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.544.4%

Home & No BTTS37.5%

BTTS & Over 2.532.6%

Home & Over 2.532.4%

Home & Under 2.526.6%

Home & BTTS21.5%

Draw & Under 2.519.8%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.8%

BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

Away & No BTTS10.0%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Away & BTTS7.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.8%

HT Over 0.566.8%

HT Draw42.5%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Home Win41.9%

HT/FT Home/Home36.9%

HT Under 0.533.2%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.2%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.8%

HT Away Win15.6%

HT Both Teams Score15.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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