UEFA Champions League

Kairat Almaty vs Omonia Nicosia

Kick-off 16:00 · Wed, Jul 29

📊 Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

92% confidence

Kairat Almaty 14.0% Draw 48.0% Omonia Nicosia 38.0%

Over 2.5 - 8% BTTS - 14%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 64%

⚠️ AIs disagree

69%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Defensive strength

87%

Draw or Away (X2)

Away team advantage

85%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Kairat Almaty and Omonia Nicosia have a significant form gap. Omonia Nicosia has a strong defensive record, with a high clean sheet percentage. Kairat Almaty's attacking threat is limited, with an average of 1.33 goals per game. The head-to-head history also favors Omonia Nicosia, who won the previous match 1-0. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the low scoring nature of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Under 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Omonia Nicosia's chance of scoring three or more is only 3.0%, which supports the selected team-goals market.

Low scoring

Numbers behind this Under 2.5 Goals

Omonia Nicosia 3+ goals

Model chance of scoring at least three

Omonia Nicosia under 3 goals

97%

Probability behind the selected NO market

Bookmaker implied chance

64%

Market does not fully agree

Kairat Almaty

L W W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 4:2 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Omonia Nicosia

Form 1-0-0 Goals 1:0 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0

Head to head · last 1

Kairat Almaty 0wins ·0 draws ·Omonia Nicosia 1wins

Kairat Almaty 0-1 Omonia NicosiaJul 22, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kairat Almaty win14.0%

Draw48.0%

Omonia Nicosia win38.0%

Over 1.5 goals26.5%

Over 2.5 goals7.8%

Over 3.5 goals1.7%

Both teams to score14.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.1%

Draw No Bet - Away72.4%

Home or Draw (1X)60.8%

Home or Away (12)54.1%

Draw45.9%

Away Win39.2%

Exactly 1 Goal36.8%

Draw No Bet - Home27.6%

Home Win14.9%

Both Halves Over 0.514.7%

Goal in Both Halves14.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.9%

Under 4.5 Goals99.7%

Under 3.5 Goals98.3%

Under 2.5 Goals92.4%

Under 1.5 Goals74.5%

Over 0.5 Goals62.2%

1-3 Goals60.5%

Total Goals Even57.1%

1-2 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Odd42.9%

Under 0.5 Goals37.8%

Exactly 0 Goals37.8%

Over 1.5 Goals25.5%

2-4 Goals25.1%

2-3 Goals23.7%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 2.5 Goals7.6%

3-4 Goals7.2%

Exactly 3 Goals5.8%

Over 3.5 Goals1.7%

4+ Goals1.7%

Over 4.5 Goals0.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)87.1%

Away Clean Sheet73.6%

Home Clean Sheet51.3%

Away Team to Score48.7%

Away Win to Nil35.8%

Home Team to Score26.4%

Home Win to Nil13.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)12.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 073.6%

Away Exactly 051.3%

Away Over 0.548.7%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Over 0.526.4%

Home Exactly 122.6%

Away Over 1.514.4%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Over 1.53.9%

Home Exactly 23.5%

Away Over 2.53.0%

Away 3+ Goals3.0%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw27.9%

Away to win by 127.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.8%

Home to win by 112.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.3%

Away to win by 3+2.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.9%

Home to win by 21.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.584.7%

Draw & Under 2.545.5%

Away & No BTTS35.8%

Away & Under 2.533.6%

Home & No BTTS13.6%

Home & Under 2.513.4%

Draw & BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Away & Over 2.55.6%

BTTS & Over 2.55.1%

Away & BTTS3.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.4%

Home & Over 2.51.6%

Home & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.592.8%

HT Draw67.2%

HT Under 0.564.5%

Equal Goals Each Half47.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw41.8%

HT Over 0.535.5%

2nd Half More Goals29.7%

1st Half More Goals23.1%

HT Away Win23.0%

HT/FT Away/Away20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.9%

HT Home Win9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.5%

HT/FT Home/Home7.3%

HT Over 1.57.2%

HT Both Teams Score3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Kairat Almaty win10%

Draw45%

Omonia Nicosia win45%

AdviceCombo Double chance : draw or Omonia Nicosia and -3.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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