UEFA Europa Conference League

Kairat Almaty vs Panathinaikos

Kick-off 15:30 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Kairat Almaty 16.8% Draw 21.6% Panathinaikos 61.6%

Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Panathinaikos: 3 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Kairat Almaty

L L L L W L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 1:9 Scored/game 0.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Panathinaikos

D W D D W

Form 2-3-0 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.4

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kairat Almaty win16.8%

Draw21.6%

Panathinaikos win61.6%

Over 1.5 goals86.2%

Over 2.5 goals65.6%

Over 3.5 goals43.6%

Both teams to score61.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.3%

Away Team to Score

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.0%

Home or Away (12)80.6%

Draw No Bet - Away77.7%

Both Halves Over 0.565.9%

Goal in Both Halves65.9%

Away Win62.6%

Home or Draw (1X)37.3%

Draw No Bet - Home22.3%

Draw19.4%

Home Win17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal11.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.4%

Over 1.5 Goals85.0%

Under 4.5 Goals74.9%

Over 2.5 Goals65.5%

2-4 Goals59.9%

Under 3.5 Goals56.4%

1-3 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.6%

4+ Goals43.6%

2-3 Goals41.4%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.5%

1-2 Goals31.0%

Over 4.5 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.5%

Under 1.5 Goals15.0%

Over 5.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.4%

Home Team to Score67.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.6%

Away Clean Sheet32.4%

Away Win to Nil29.0%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Home Win to Nil7.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.4%

Home Over 0.567.6%

Away Over 1.565.7%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 032.4%

Home Over 1.531.1%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 220.6%

Home Over 2.510.5%

Home 3+ Goals10.5%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)62.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.5%

Away to win by 122.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.4%

Away to win by 3+21.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 218.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.3%

Home to win by 111.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.7%

Home to win by 24.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.0%

Home to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.8%

Away & Over 2.546.3%

Away & BTTS33.7%

Away & No BTTS29.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.8%

Away & Under 2.516.3%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.7%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

Home & Over 2.511.9%

Home & BTTS10.8%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Home & No BTTS7.1%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.1%

HT Under 1.555.1%

HT Away Win47.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.544.9%

HT/FT Away/Away41.3%

HT Draw34.6%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half22.4%

HT Under 0.521.9%

HT Home Win18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Home/Home10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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