UEFA Europa Conference League

Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne

Kick-off 17:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

51% confidence

Kalju Nomme 34.4% Draw 14.6% Shelbourne 51.0%

Over 2.5 - 99% BTTS - 97%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 37%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Shelbourne win at 51.0%.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

Kalju Nomme win

34.4%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.6%

1X2 model probability

Shelbourne win

51%

1X2 model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

37%

Market does not fully agree

Kalju Nomme

L D W

Form 1-1-1 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Shelbourne

Form 1-0-0 Goals 5:2 Scored/game 5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Kalju Nomme 0wins ·0 draws ·Shelbourne 1wins

Kalju Nomme 2-5 ShelbourneJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kalju Nomme win34.4%

Draw14.6%

Shelbourne win51.0%

Over 1.5 goals99.8%

Over 2.5 goals98.9%

Over 3.5 goals96.4%

Both teams to score96.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.596.6%

Goal in Both Halves96.6%

Home or Away (12)80.7%

Draw or Away (X2)61.8%

Draw No Bet - Away59.7%

Away Win48.2%

Home or Draw (1X)46.2%

Draw No Bet - Home40.3%

Home Win32.5%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.3%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals93.3%

Over 3.5 Goals91.0%

4+ Goals91.0%

Over 4.5 Goals86.2%

Over 5.5 Goals78.1%

Total Goals Odd47.2%

Total Goals Even47.2%

Under 5.5 Goals21.9%

Under 4.5 Goals13.8%

Under 3.5 Goals9.0%

2-4 Goals8.0%

3-4 Goals7.1%

Under 2.5 Goals6.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals5.7%

1-3 Goals3.4%

2-3 Goals3.2%

Exactly 3 Goals2.3%

1-2 Goals1.0%

Exactly 2 Goals0.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.3%

Home Team to Score92.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)91.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)8.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.1%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.3%

Home Over 0.592.3%

Away Over 1.588.4%

Home Over 1.584.3%

Away Over 2.577.3%

Away 3+ Goals77.3%

Home Over 2.569.1%

Home 3+ Goals69.1%

Home Exactly 215.3%

Away Exactly 211.1%

Home Exactly 18.0%

Away Exactly 14.9%

Home Exactly 02.1%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home81.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)72.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home72.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.0%

Away to win by 3+22.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 212.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

Home to win by 3+11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 28.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.590.8%

Away & Over 2.547.8%

Away & BTTS46.1%

Home & Over 2.532.2%

Home & BTTS31.4%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.52.5%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Home & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.50.6%

Draw & Under 2.50.4%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

BTTS & Under 2.50.4%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.597.6%

HT Over 1.588.8%

HT Both Teams Score71.3%

2nd Half More Goals54.3%

HT Away Win45.3%

HT/FT Away/Away35.4%

HT Home Win33.4%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT/FT Home/Home21.9%

HT Draw21.2%

Equal Goals Each Half13.5%

HT Under 1.511.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.2%

HT/FT Home/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT Under 0.52.4%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Kalju Nomme win10%

Draw45%

Shelbourne win45%

AdviceCombo Winner : Shelbourne and +2.5 goals

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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