Germany · 2. Bundesliga

Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Karlsruher SC 86.9% Draw 7.9% Arminia Bielefeld 5.2%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 61%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Arminia Bielefeld: 4 points versus 6 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

61%

Market does not fully agree

Karlsruher SC

L D W

Form 1-1-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Arminia Bielefeld

W L D D L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Karlsruher SC win86.9%

Draw7.9%

Arminia Bielefeld win5.2%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.5%

Over 3.5 goals82.3%

Both teams to score72.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.1%

Home or Draw (1X)90.7%

Home or Away (12)88.8%

Both Halves Over 0.588.8%

Goal in Both Halves88.8%

Home Win83.6%

Draw or Away (X2)12.4%

Draw7.1%

Draw No Bet - Away5.9%

Away Win5.3%

Exactly 1 Goal1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.8%

Over 3.5 Goals79.0%

4+ Goals79.0%

Over 4.5 Goals64.7%

Under 5.5 Goals51.9%

Over 5.5 Goals48.1%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals35.3%

2-4 Goals29.2%

3-4 Goals24.1%

Under 3.5 Goals21.0%

1-3 Goals16.7%

2-3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals11.2%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

1-2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 2 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score69.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.0%

Home Clean Sheet26.2%

Home Win to Nil25.9%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.569.8%

Away Over 1.535.8%

Away Exactly 134.0%

Away Exactly 026.2%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Away Over 2.513.7%

Away 3+ Goals13.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)71.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)71.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home71.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away71.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away56.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home56.2%

Home to win by 3+56.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away39.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)39.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home39.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)24.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away24.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home24.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 13.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.2%

BTTS & Over 2.567.2%

Home & BTTS57.7%

Home & No BTTS25.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.6%

Draw & BTTS6.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Away & Over 2.54.6%

Home & Under 2.54.4%

Away & BTTS4.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.4%

HT Home Win71.3%

HT/FT Home/Home68.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT Both Teams Score38.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.6%

HT Draw19.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win9.6%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.9%

HT/FT Away/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Karlsruher SC win45%

Draw45%

Arminia Bielefeld win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Karlsruher SC or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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