Turkey · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Amed

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Kasımpaşa 30.5% Draw 28.4% Amed 41.1%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Amed: 5 points versus 6 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.92 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Kasımpaşa

D W L D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

Amed

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kasımpaşa win30.5%

Draw28.4%

Amed win41.1%

Over 1.5 goals77.8%

Over 2.5 goals52.2%

Over 3.5 goals30.0%

Both teams to score57.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

86.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.7%

Draw or Away (X2)68.0%

Home or Draw (1X)57.3%

Draw No Bet - Away57.2%

Both Halves Over 0.555.6%

Goal in Both Halves55.6%

Draw No Bet - Home42.8%

Away Win42.7%

Home Win32.0%

Draw25.3%

Exactly 1 Goal17.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals93.8%

Over 0.5 Goals93.7%

Under 4.5 Goals85.3%

Over 1.5 Goals76.3%

Under 3.5 Goals70.0%

1-3 Goals63.7%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.8%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals37.5%

Over 3.5 Goals30.0%

4+ Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals24.1%

Under 1.5 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.7%

Under 0.5 Goals6.3%

Exactly 0 Goals6.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score77.7%

Home Team to Score71.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.2%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Away Win to Nil21.9%

Home Win to Nil16.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.577.7%

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Over 1.544.2%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away68.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.7%

Away to win by 121.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 118.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.1%

Home to win by 29.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.2%

Away to win by 3+8.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.6%

Home to win by 3+4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.8%

Away & Over 2.526.2%

Away & No BTTS21.9%

Away & BTTS20.8%

Home & Over 2.519.0%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Draw & Under 2.518.2%

Away & Under 2.516.5%

Home & BTTS16.0%

Home & No BTTS16.0%

Home & Under 2.513.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.2%

HT Under 1.564.7%

2nd Half More Goals43.7%

HT Draw41.0%

HT Over 1.535.3%

HT Away Win32.8%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.528.8%

HT Home Win26.2%

HT/FT Away/Away25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half25.2%

HT Both Teams Score21.3%

HT/FT Home/Home18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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