Turkey · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

Kick-off 18:00 · Fri, Sep 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

81% confidence

Kasımpaşa 81.0% Draw 13.5% Konyaspor 5.5%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Kasımpaşa: 5 points versus 0 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Kasımpaşa

D W L D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

Konyaspor

L L L L

Form 0-0-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 2.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kasımpaşa win81.0%

Draw13.5%

Konyaspor win5.5%

Over 1.5 goals87.3%

Over 2.5 goals68.2%

Over 3.5 goals46.6%

Both teams to score47.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.2%

Home or Away (12)

87.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)93.6%

Draw No Bet - Home93.0%

Home or Away (12)87.7%

Home Win81.6%

Both Halves Over 0.568.0%

Goal in Both Halves68.0%

Draw or Away (X2)18.2%

Draw12.0%

Exactly 1 Goal10.4%

Draw No Bet - Away7.0%

Away Win6.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.8%

Under 4.5 Goals72.4%

Over 2.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals58.8%

Under 3.5 Goals53.5%

1-3 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals46.5%

4+ Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.8%

Under 2.5 Goals32.0%

1-2 Goals28.7%

Over 4.5 Goals27.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals14.2%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.9%

Home Clean Sheet50.8%

Away Team to Score49.0%

Home Win to Nil47.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.1%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 1.577.4%

Home Over 2.553.9%

Home 3+ Goals53.9%

Away Exactly 050.8%

Away Over 0.549.0%

Away Exactly 134.3%

Home Exactly 223.5%

Home Exactly 116.5%

Away Over 1.514.7%

Away Exactly 211.6%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Away Over 2.53.1%

Away 3+ Goals3.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away59.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)40.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home40.3%

Home to win by 3+40.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)37.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away37.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home22.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.7%

Home to win by 221.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 14.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.2%

Away to win by 21.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.2%

Home & No BTTS47.8%

BTTS & Over 2.540.4%

Home & BTTS33.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.0%

Home & Under 2.520.4%

Draw & BTTS9.1%

Draw & Under 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & Over 2.53.5%

Draw & Over 2.53.4%

Away & BTTS3.3%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.5%

HT Home Win62.0%

HT/FT Home/Home59.1%

HT Under 1.553.0%

HT Over 1.547.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw29.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT Both Teams Score18.9%

HT Away Win8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Away/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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