Turkey · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Kasımpaşa 62.9% Draw 19.6% Trabzonspor 17.5%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Kasımpaşa

W L D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Trabzonspor

L W D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kasımpaşa win62.9%

Draw19.6%

Trabzonspor win17.5%

Over 1.5 goals90.9%

Over 2.5 goals74.5%

Over 3.5 goals54.4%

Both teams to score68.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)81.5%

Draw No Bet - Home77.7%

Both Halves Over 0.572.9%

Goal in Both Halves72.9%

Home Win63.8%

Draw or Away (X2)36.1%

Draw No Bet - Away22.3%

Away Win18.4%

Draw17.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.4%

Over 2.5 Goals74.4%

Under 4.5 Goals65.2%

2-4 Goals55.0%

Over 3.5 Goals54.3%

4+ Goals54.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.7%

1-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.5%

Over 4.5 Goals34.8%

Under 2.5 Goals25.6%

1-2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.1%

Away Team to Score73.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.3%

Home Win to Nil24.3%

Away Clean Sheet7.8%

Away Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 0.573.5%

Home Over 1.572.3%

Home Over 2.546.9%

Home 3+ Goals46.9%

Away Over 1.538.4%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Away Exactly 026.3%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 119.8%

Away Over 2.515.0%

Away 3+ Goals15.0%

Home Exactly 07.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away57.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.5%

Home to win by 3+24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 218.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 110.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.8%

Home & Over 2.551.8%

Home & BTTS39.5%

Home & No BTTS24.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Away & Over 2.513.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.5%

Away & BTTS12.6%

Home & Under 2.511.9%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & No BTTS5.7%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.6%

HT Over 1.552.2%

HT Home Win49.2%

HT Under 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT/FT Home/Home42.9%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw31.6%

HT Both Teams Score30.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Away Win19.2%

HT Under 0.517.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT/FT Away/Away10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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