UEFA Europa League

Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Kauno Žalgiris 6.3% Draw 18.5% Beşiktaş 75.2%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 37%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 15.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Beşiktaş: 7 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.9%

Exact-score model probability

Kauno Žalgiris

L L L W D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 5:12 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2

Beşiktaş

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 9:0 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0

Head to head · last 1

Kauno Žalgiris 0wins ·0 draws ·Beşiktaş 1wins

Kauno Žalgiris 0-3 BeşiktaşAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kauno Žalgiris win6.3%

Draw18.5%

Beşiktaş win75.2%

Over 1.5 goals76.6%

Over 2.5 goals51.2%

Over 3.5 goals29.1%

Both teams to score37.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Away

91.3%

Away Team to Score

88.9%

Away Over 0.5

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)92.7%

Draw No Bet - Away91.3%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Away Win76.2%

Both Halves Over 0.554.9%

Goal in Both Halves54.9%

Home or Draw (1X)23.8%

Exactly 1 Goal17.9%

Draw16.5%

Draw No Bet - Home8.7%

Home Win7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.2%

Over 0.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals85.9%

Over 1.5 Goals75.6%

Under 3.5 Goals70.9%

1-3 Goals64.3%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.8%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals42.2%

3-4 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals29.1%

4+ Goals29.1%

Under 1.5 Goals24.4%

Exactly 2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.1%

Under 0.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.9%

Away Clean Sheet59.4%

Away Win to Nil52.9%

Home Team to Score40.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.1%

Home Clean Sheet11.0%

Home Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.9%

Away Over 1.564.6%

Home Exactly 059.4%

Home Over 0.540.5%

Away Over 2.537.8%

Away 3+ Goals37.8%

Home Exactly 130.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.3%

Away Exactly 011.0%

Home Over 1.59.6%

Home Exactly 28.0%

Home Over 2.51.6%

Home 3+ Goals1.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away92.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home48.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.7%

Away to win by 3+28.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.5%

Away to win by 124.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.0%

Away to win by 223.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away13.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 15.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 21.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS52.9%

Away & Over 2.545.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.541.2%

Away & Under 2.530.4%

BTTS & Over 2.528.6%

Away & BTTS23.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.7%

Draw & Under 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS10.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & No BTTS4.5%

Home & Under 2.54.3%

Home & Over 2.53.0%

Home & BTTS2.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.7%

HT Under 1.565.3%

HT Away Win54.8%

HT/FT Away/Away51.8%

2nd Half More Goals43.5%

HT Draw36.5%

HT Over 1.534.7%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.3%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.1%

HT Both Teams Score13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT Home Win8.6%

HT/FT Home/Home3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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