UEFA Champions League

Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik

Kick-off 17:00 · Wed, Jul 29

📊 Our Prediction

Draw or Away (X2)

43% confidence

Kauno Žalgiris 26.0% Draw 31.0% KI Klaksvik 43.0%

Over 2.5 - 42% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Away team advantage

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 46%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Both teams scoring

80%

Away Team to Score

KI Klaksvik scoring form

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Kauno Žalgiris and KI Klaksvik have similar recent form, with KI Klaksvik having a slight edge. Kauno Žalgiris have a decent home record, but KI Klaksvik's away form is strong. The head-to-head record is limited, but their previous match ended in a draw. With both teams capable of scoring, the match is likely to be closely contested.

💡

Top Tip

Draw or Away is a strong bet given KI Klaksvik's recent performances

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 74% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 26.0% on the only losing outcome.

Away team advantage

Recent form leans to KI Klaksvik: 5 points versus 7 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Draw or Away (X2)

X2 · Draw or Away

74%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

26%

Only the uncovered result loses

Bookmaker implied chance

46%

Market does not fully agree

Kauno Žalgiris

D W D

Form 1-2-0 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

KI Klaksvik

D W W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 4:2 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Kauno Žalgiris 0wins ·1 draws ·KI Klaksvik 0wins

Kauno Žalgiris 0-0 KI KlaksvikJul 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kauno Žalgiris win26.0%

Draw31.0%

KI Klaksvik win43.0%

Over 1.5 goals69.8%

Over 2.5 goals41.9%

Over 3.5 goals21.2%

Both teams to score48.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.0%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.5%

Draw or Away (X2)71.3%

Draw No Bet - Away60.5%

Home or Draw (1X)56.2%

Both Halves Over 0.547.5%

Goal in Both Halves47.5%

Away Win43.8%

Draw No Bet - Home39.5%

Home Win28.7%

Draw27.5%

Exactly 1 Goal22.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.7%

Under 4.5 Goals91.0%

Over 0.5 Goals90.5%

Under 3.5 Goals78.8%

1-3 Goals69.3%

Over 1.5 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 2.5 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals48.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals32.8%

Under 1.5 Goals31.8%

Exactly 2 Goals26.3%

Over 3.5 Goals21.2%

4+ Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Under 0.5 Goals9.5%

Exactly 0 Goals9.5%

Over 4.5 Goals9.0%

Over 5.5 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score73.6%

Home Team to Score64.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.1%

Away Clean Sheet36.0%

Away Win to Nil26.5%

Home Clean Sheet26.4%

Home Win to Nil16.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.573.6%

Home Over 0.564.0%

Away Over 1.538.5%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.0%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Home Over 1.527.2%

Away Exactly 026.4%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 218.8%

Away Over 2.515.1%

Away 3+ Goals15.1%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)28.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.5%

Away to win by 123.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.4%

Away to win by 3+7.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.0%

Home to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.545.2%

BTTS & Over 2.534.2%

Away & No BTTS26.5%

Away & Over 2.522.7%

Draw & Under 2.522.4%

Away & Under 2.521.1%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Away & BTTS17.3%

Home & No BTTS16.9%

Home & Under 2.514.7%

Home & Over 2.514.0%

BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Home & BTTS11.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.4%

HT Over 0.565.3%

HT Draw44.9%

2nd Half More Goals41.9%

HT Under 0.534.7%

HT Away Win32.2%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Over 1.528.6%

Equal Goals Each Half27.7%

HT/FT Away/Away25.9%

HT Home Win22.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.9%

HT Both Teams Score16.6%

HT/FT Home/Home16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Kauno Žalgiris win10%

Draw45%

KI Klaksvik win45%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or KI Klaksvik

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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