France · Coupe de France

Kellermann vs Metz

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Nov 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Kellermann 70.0% Draw 17.7% Metz 12.3%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Kellermann

No recent results stored yet

Metz

D L L D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 7:16 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kellermann win70.0%

Draw17.7%

Metz win12.3%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals72.8%

Over 3.5 goals52.2%

Both teams to score63.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

88.9%

Home or Draw (1X)

86.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.6%

Draw No Bet - Home84.3%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Both Halves Over 0.571.6%

Goal in Both Halves71.6%

Home Win70.7%

Draw or Away (X2)29.1%

Draw15.9%

Draw No Bet - Away15.7%

Away Win13.2%

Exactly 1 Goal8.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals88.9%

Under 5.5 Goals82.0%

Over 2.5 Goals72.6%

Under 4.5 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals56.2%

Over 3.5 Goals52.1%

4+ Goals52.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.9%

1-3 Goals45.4%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals36.8%

Over 4.5 Goals32.7%

Under 2.5 Goals27.4%

1-2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.0%

Home Clean Sheet33.2%

Home Win to Nil30.9%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 1.574.6%

Away Over 0.566.6%

Home Over 2.550.0%

Home 3+ Goals50.0%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 033.2%

Away Over 1.530.0%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Exactly 118.4%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.0%

Home to win by 3+30.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.8%

Home to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.556.4%

BTTS & Over 2.555.3%

Home & BTTS39.8%

Home & No BTTS30.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.3%

Home & Under 2.514.3%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Away & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.0%

Away & BTTS8.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.8%

HT Home Win53.9%

HT Over 1.550.7%

HT Under 1.549.3%

HT/FT Home/Home48.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw30.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Under 0.518.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Away Win15.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Away/Away7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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