Scotland · Premiership

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Kilmarnock 46.5% Draw 24.3% Dundee Utd 29.1%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Kilmarnock: 12 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Kilmarnock

L L W W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 17:11 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Dundee Utd

L D D D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:11 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Kilmarnock 3wins ·2 draws ·Dundee Utd 0wins

Kilmarnock 3-0 Dundee UtdMay 2, 2026

Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee UtdFeb 21, 2026

Kilmarnock 1-1 Dundee UtdNov 29, 2025

Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee UtdSep 27, 2025

Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee UtdFeb 1, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kilmarnock win46.5%

Draw24.3%

Dundee Utd win29.1%

Over 1.5 goals81.2%

Over 2.5 goals58.7%

Over 3.5 goals36.3%

Both teams to score74.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.3%

Draw No Bet - Home91.2%

Home or Away (12)88.3%

Home Win80.5%

Both Halves Over 0.579.8%

Goal in Both Halves79.8%

Draw or Away (X2)18.6%

Draw10.8%

Draw No Bet - Away8.8%

Away Win7.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals82.1%

Under 5.5 Goals70.7%

Over 3.5 Goals65.4%

4+ Goals65.4%

Under 4.5 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-4 Goals46.7%

Over 4.5 Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals35.6%

Under 3.5 Goals34.6%

1-3 Goals32.6%

Over 5.5 Goals29.3%

2-3 Goals27.8%

Under 2.5 Goals17.9%

Exactly 3 Goals16.7%

1-2 Goals15.9%

Exactly 2 Goals11.1%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score65.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.7%

Home Clean Sheet33.7%

Home Win to Nil32.6%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 0.565.4%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 033.7%

Away Over 1.529.1%

Away Exactly 219.6%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Over 2.59.5%

Away 3+ Goals9.5%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away71.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)54.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away54.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.8%

Home to win by 3+44.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 15.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.9%

Away to win by 21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.570.4%

BTTS & Over 2.559.3%

Home & BTTS48.0%

Home & No BTTS32.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.522.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

Draw & BTTS9.7%

Away & Over 2.56.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Away & BTTS5.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.0%

HT Home Win63.8%

HT Over 1.560.4%

HT/FT Home/Home60.1%

2nd Half More Goals48.7%

HT Under 1.539.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score30.3%

HT Draw24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.1%

HT Under 0.513.0%

HT Away Win11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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