Scotland · Premiership

Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Kilmarnock 51.5% Draw 23.8% ST Johnstone 24.6%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 78%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

77%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Kilmarnock: 9 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Kilmarnock

L L L W W W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 14:12 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2

ST Johnstone

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 5

Kilmarnock 2wins ·0 draws ·ST Johnstone 3wins

Kilmarnock 3-4 ST JohnstoneAug 2, 2026

Kilmarnock 2-0 ST JohnstoneMay 3, 2025

Kilmarnock 3-1 ST JohnstoneFeb 15, 2025

Kilmarnock 0-1 ST JohnstoneNov 23, 2024

Kilmarnock 0-3 ST JohnstoneAug 11, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kilmarnock win51.5%

Draw23.8%

ST Johnstone win24.6%

Over 1.5 goals77.1%

Over 2.5 goals53.4%

Over 3.5 goals31.1%

Both teams to score77.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.4%

HT Over 0.5

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Home or Draw (1X)80.7%

Both Halves Over 0.578.5%

Goal in Both Halves78.5%

Draw No Bet - Home77.0%

Home Win64.0%

Draw or Away (X2)35.7%

Draw No Bet - Away23.0%

Away Win19.1%

Draw16.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.2%

Under 5.5 Goals72.3%

Over 3.5 Goals63.7%

4+ Goals63.7%

Under 4.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals48.5%

Over 4.5 Goals44.5%

3-4 Goals36.6%

Under 3.5 Goals36.3%

1-3 Goals34.8%

2-3 Goals29.4%

Over 5.5 Goals27.7%

Under 2.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score78.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.9%

Home Clean Sheet21.1%

Home Win to Nil19.8%

Away Clean Sheet5.8%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Away Over 0.578.7%

Home Over 1.577.3%

Home Over 2.553.8%

Home 3+ Goals53.8%

Away Over 1.545.9%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 021.1%

Away Over 2.520.4%

Away 3+ Goals20.4%

Home Exactly 116.6%

Home Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)73.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away73.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)26.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home26.7%

Home to win by 3+26.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 110.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.3%

Away to win by 25.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.0%

Away to win by 3+3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.568.6%

Home & Over 2.555.6%

Home & BTTS44.2%

Home & No BTTS19.8%

Away & Over 2.515.7%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

Away & BTTS14.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.6%

Draw & Over 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.4%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.2%

HT Over 1.558.8%

HT Home Win50.3%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT/FT Home/Home43.7%

HT Under 1.541.2%

HT Both Teams Score36.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.3%

HT Away Win20.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT Under 0.513.8%

HT/FT Away/Away11.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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