Turkey · Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Amed

Kick-off 19:30 · Mon, Aug 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Kocaelispor 0.8% Draw 4.9% Amed 94.3%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

94%

Draw No Bet - Away

DNB away — draw refunds stake

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 15.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.3%

Exact-score model probability

Kocaelispor

L L L D

Form 0-1-3 Goals 1:5 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 1.25

Amed

Form 1-0-0 Goals 3:0 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kocaelispor win0.8%

Draw4.9%

Amed win94.3%

Over 1.5 goals91.3%

Over 2.5 goals76.6%

Over 3.5 goals57.0%

Both teams to score25.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.7%

Away Over 1.5

87.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

84.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.9%

Draw or Away (X2)97.5%

Home or Away (12)94.2%

Away Win93.2%

Both Halves Over 0.574.8%

Goal in Both Halves74.8%

Exactly 1 Goal7.1%

Home or Draw (1X)5.3%

Draw4.3%

Draw No Bet - Home1.1%

Home Win1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals79.2%

Over 2.5 Goals75.4%

Under 4.5 Goals63.4%

Over 3.5 Goals56.1%

4+ Goals56.1%

2-4 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

Under 3.5 Goals43.9%

1-3 Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals38.8%

Over 4.5 Goals36.6%

2-3 Goals33.6%

Under 2.5 Goals24.6%

1-2 Goals21.3%

Over 5.5 Goals20.8%

Exactly 3 Goals19.3%

Exactly 2 Goals14.3%

Under 1.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.1%

Away Clean Sheet73.0%

Away Win to Nil71.2%

Home Team to Score25.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.9%

Home Clean Sheet2.4%

Home Win to Nil0.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.2%

Away Over 1.587.3%

Home Exactly 073.0%

Away Over 2.570.8%

Away 3+ Goals70.8%

Home Over 0.525.5%

Home Exactly 121.9%

Away Exactly 216.5%

Away Exactly 18.8%

Home Over 1.53.6%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Away Exactly 02.4%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)84.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away82.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home71.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away64.7%

Away to win by 3+64.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home54.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)44.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away44.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home33.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away26.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.5%

Away to win by 217.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home16.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away13.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 111.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home5.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.9%

Home to win by 10.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.574.4%

Away & No BTTS71.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.552.5%

BTTS & Over 2.523.0%

Away & BTTS21.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.1%

Away & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.7%

Draw & BTTS2.6%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Home & No BTTS0.6%

Home & Over 2.50.4%

Home & BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.8%

HT Away Win77.3%

HT/FT Away/Away76.6%

HT Over 1.554.4%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT Draw20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.6%

HT Under 0.516.2%

HT Both Teams Score10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.0%

HT Home Win2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.5%

HT/FT Home/Home0.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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