Turkey · Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Göztepe

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Kocaelispor 40.7% Draw 26.7% Göztepe 32.6%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Göztepe: 4 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.9%

Exact-score model probability

Kocaelispor

W L L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

Göztepe

L D L W D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2.4

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kocaelispor win40.7%

Draw26.7%

Göztepe win32.6%

Over 1.5 goals82.5%

Over 2.5 goals59.2%

Over 3.5 goals36.8%

Both teams to score62.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.1%

Home or Draw (1X)66.0%

Both Halves Over 0.561.0%

Goal in Both Halves61.0%

Draw or Away (X2)57.9%

Draw No Bet - Home55.4%

Draw No Bet - Away44.6%

Home Win42.1%

Away Win34.0%

Draw23.9%

Exactly 1 Goal14.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals90.9%

Over 1.5 Goals81.1%

Under 4.5 Goals80.4%

Under 3.5 Goals63.2%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.2%

1-3 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.3%

Under 2.5 Goals40.8%

3-4 Goals39.6%

Over 3.5 Goals36.8%

4+ Goals36.8%

1-2 Goals36.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals18.9%

Over 5.5 Goals9.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.4%

Away Team to Score76.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Home Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Clean Sheet19.6%

Home Win to Nil19.0%

Away Win to Nil15.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.4%

Away Over 0.576.3%

Home Over 1.548.4%

Away Over 1.542.2%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 132.0%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 023.7%

Home Over 2.522.4%

Home 3+ Goals22.4%

Home Exactly 019.6%

Away Over 2.517.6%

Away 3+ Goals17.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 29.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.8%

Home to win by 3+8.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.8%

Away to win by 3+5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.9%

Home & Over 2.528.4%

Home & BTTS23.1%

Away & Over 2.522.5%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS19.0%

Away & BTTS19.0%

Draw & Under 2.515.6%

Away & No BTTS15.0%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Away & Under 2.511.5%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.9%

HT Under 1.559.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.1%

HT Draw38.6%

HT Home Win33.3%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Away Win28.2%

HT/FT Home/Home25.5%

HT Under 0.525.1%

HT Both Teams Score24.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Away/Away20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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