Turkey · Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Rizespor

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

Kocaelispor 35.6% Draw 30.7% Rizespor 33.7%

Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 51%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rizespor: 4 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Kocaelispor

W L L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

Rizespor

L W D L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kocaelispor win35.6%

Draw30.7%

Rizespor win33.7%

Over 1.5 goals71.7%

Over 2.5 goals44.1%

Over 3.5 goals23.0%

Both teams to score51.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

85.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.6%

Home or Draw (1X)64.7%

Draw or Away (X2)62.7%

Draw No Bet - Home51.4%

Both Halves Over 0.549.3%

Goal in Both Halves49.3%

Draw No Bet - Away48.6%

Home Win37.3%

Away Win35.3%

Draw27.4%

Exactly 1 Goal21.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.2%

Over 0.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals77.0%

Over 1.5 Goals70.1%

1-3 Goals68.3%

2-4 Goals59.9%

Under 2.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.2%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Under 1.5 Goals29.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.0%

4+ Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Over 4.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.7%

Exactly 0 Goals8.7%

Over 5.5 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.1%

Away Team to Score69.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.7%

Home Clean Sheet30.1%

Away Clean Sheet28.9%

Home Win to Nil21.4%

Away Win to Nil20.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.1%

Away Over 0.569.9%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 1.535.2%

Away Over 1.533.7%

Away Exactly 030.1%

Home Exactly 028.9%

Home Exactly 222.3%

Away Exactly 221.7%

Home Over 2.513.0%

Home 3+ Goals13.0%

Away Over 2.512.1%

Away 3+ Goals12.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 210.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.0%

Away to win by 210.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.5%

Home to win by 3+5.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.9%

Away to win by 3+4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.9%

BTTS & Over 2.536.7%

Draw & Under 2.521.7%

Home & No BTTS21.4%

Away & No BTTS20.2%

Home & Over 2.519.8%

Draw & BTTS18.7%

Away & Over 2.518.6%

Home & Under 2.517.5%

Away & Under 2.516.7%

Home & BTTS15.9%

Away & BTTS15.1%

BTTS & Under 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.9%

HT Over 0.566.7%

HT Draw44.2%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Under 0.533.3%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.1%

HT Home Win28.5%

HT Away Win27.3%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT/FT Home/Home21.6%

HT/FT Away/Away20.3%

HT Both Teams Score17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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