Turkey · Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor

Kick-off 18:00 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Kocaelispor 15.8% Draw 19.7% Samsunspor 64.5%

Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Samsunspor: 4 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.10 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Kocaelispor

W L L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

Samsunspor

D W L W

Form 2-1-1 Goals 10:7 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kocaelispor win15.8%

Draw19.7%

Samsunspor win64.5%

Over 1.5 goals89.4%

Over 2.5 goals71.6%

Over 3.5 goals50.7%

Both teams to score65.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.7%

Away Over 0.5

91.7%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)83.2%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Draw No Bet - Away79.6%

Both Halves Over 0.570.6%

Goal in Both Halves70.6%

Away Win65.4%

Home or Draw (1X)34.5%

Draw No Bet - Home20.4%

Draw17.7%

Home Win16.7%

Exactly 1 Goal9.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.3%

Under 5.5 Goals83.0%

Over 2.5 Goals71.5%

Under 4.5 Goals68.7%

2-4 Goals57.0%

Over 3.5 Goals50.6%

4+ Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals49.4%

1-3 Goals46.8%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals37.7%

Over 4.5 Goals31.3%

Under 2.5 Goals28.5%

1-2 Goals26.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.8%

Over 5.5 Goals17.0%

Exactly 2 Goals16.9%

Under 1.5 Goals11.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.7%

Home Team to Score70.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.7%

Away Clean Sheet29.8%

Away Win to Nil27.4%

Home Clean Sheet8.2%

Home Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 1.571.2%

Home Over 0.570.0%

Away Over 2.545.5%

Away 3+ Goals45.5%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Home Over 1.534.0%

Home Exactly 029.8%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Away Exactly 120.5%

Home Over 2.512.2%

Home 3+ Goals12.2%

Away Exactly 08.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home74.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home34.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away25.0%

Away to win by 3+25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.4%

Away to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.0%

Away to win by 219.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.4%

Home to win by 110.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.0%

Home to win by 3+2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.9%

Away & Over 2.551.6%

Away & BTTS38.0%

Away & No BTTS27.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.0%

Draw & BTTS15.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.6%

Away & Under 2.513.8%

Home & Over 2.512.0%

Home & BTTS11.0%

Draw & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Home & No BTTS5.8%

Home & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.1%

HT Under 1.550.3%

HT Away Win49.9%

HT Over 1.549.7%

2nd Half More Goals46.8%

HT/FT Away/Away44.1%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score28.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.2%

HT Under 0.518.9%

HT Home Win17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.4%

HT/FT Home/Home9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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