Turkey · Süper Lig

Konyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

34% confidence

Konyaspor 34.1% Draw 34.1% Kocaelispor 31.8%

Over 2.5 - 33% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Kocaelispor: 0 points versus 4 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.35 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.7%

Exact-score model probability

Konyaspor

L L L L

Form 0-0-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 2.25

Kocaelispor

W L L L D

Form 1-1-3 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Konyaspor win34.1%

Draw34.1%

Kocaelispor win31.8%

Over 1.5 goals61.8%

Over 2.5 goals33.0%

Over 3.5 goals14.7%

Both teams to score42.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

87.5%

Over 0.5 Goals

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)69.4%

Home or Draw (1X)66.5%

Draw or Away (X2)64.1%

Draw No Bet - Home51.7%

Draw No Bet - Away48.3%

Both Halves Over 0.540.2%

Goal in Both Halves40.2%

Home Win35.9%

Away Win33.5%

Draw30.6%

Exactly 1 Goal26.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.3%

Under 4.5 Goals94.5%

Over 0.5 Goals86.8%

Under 3.5 Goals85.3%

1-3 Goals72.1%

Under 2.5 Goals67.0%

Over 1.5 Goals60.1%

2-4 Goals54.6%

1-2 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even50.9%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-3 Goals45.3%

Under 1.5 Goals39.9%

Over 2.5 Goals33.0%

3-4 Goals27.5%

Exactly 2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.3%

Over 3.5 Goals14.7%

4+ Goals14.7%

Under 0.5 Goals13.2%

Exactly 0 Goals13.2%

Over 4.5 Goals5.5%

Over 5.5 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score64.5%

Away Team to Score62.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.5%

Home Clean Sheet37.2%

Away Clean Sheet35.5%

Home Win to Nil24.0%

Away Win to Nil22.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.564.5%

Away Over 0.562.8%

Away Exactly 037.2%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 035.5%

Home Over 1.527.7%

Away Over 1.526.1%

Home Exactly 219.0%

Away Exactly 218.2%

Home Over 2.58.7%

Home 3+ Goals8.7%

Away Over 2.57.8%

Away 3+ Goals7.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.0%

Home to win by 122.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 121.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.8%

Home to win by 29.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.1%

Home to win by 3+4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.5%

Away to win by 3+3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.553.5%

BTTS & Over 2.527.0%

Draw & Under 2.526.7%

Home & No BTTS24.0%

Away & No BTTS22.3%

Home & Under 2.520.7%

Away & Under 2.519.5%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Home & Over 2.515.1%

Away & Over 2.514.0%

BTTS & Under 2.513.5%

Home & BTTS11.9%

Away & BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.576.8%

HT Over 0.559.8%

HT Draw49.0%

HT Under 0.540.2%

2nd Half More Goals40.1%

Equal Goals Each Half30.4%

1st Half More Goals29.5%

HT Home Win26.2%

HT Away Win24.8%

HT Over 1.523.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw21.5%

HT/FT Home/Home20.2%

HT/FT Away/Away18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT Both Teams Score13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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