UEFA Europa Conference League

Koper vs NSI Runavik

Kick-off 19:45 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

Koper 90.3% Draw 8.3% NSI Runavik 1.4%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 65%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 16.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

65%

Market does not fully agree

Koper

Form 1-0-0 Goals 2:0 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0

NSI Runavik

L W D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 3:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Koper 1wins ·0 draws ·NSI Runavik 0wins

Koper 2-0 NSI RunavikJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Koper win90.3%

Draw8.3%

NSI Runavik win1.4%

Over 1.5 goals85.3%

Over 2.5 goals65.2%

Over 3.5 goals43.2%

Both teams to score25.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

90.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.0%

Home or Draw (1X)97.7%

Home or Away (12)92.1%

Home Win90.3%

Both Halves Over 0.565.8%

Goal in Both Halves65.8%

Exactly 1 Goal11.6%

Draw or Away (X2)9.3%

Draw7.4%

Draw No Bet - Away2.0%

Away Win1.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.1%

Under 5.5 Goals87.9%

Over 1.5 Goals84.5%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 3.5 Goals57.0%

1-3 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 3.5 Goals43.0%

4+ Goals43.0%

2-3 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.1%

1-2 Goals31.2%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals15.5%

Over 5.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.9%

Exactly 0 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.4%

Home Clean Sheet73.8%

Home Win to Nil70.3%

Away Team to Score25.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.580.6%

Away Exactly 073.8%

Home Over 2.558.7%

Home 3+ Goals58.7%

Away Over 0.525.8%

Away Exactly 122.1%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Home Exactly 114.3%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Away Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.4%

Away 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home99.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home97.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)90.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home74.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)68.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away68.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home52.3%

Home to win by 3+52.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)47.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away47.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away25.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 221.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw20.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 11.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 20.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS70.3%

Home & Over 2.563.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.543.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.4%

Home & Under 2.526.8%

BTTS & Over 2.521.4%

Home & BTTS20.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & BTTS4.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & Under 2.51.2%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Away & Over 2.50.6%

Away & BTTS0.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.0%

HT Home Win70.3%

HT/FT Home/Home69.1%

HT Under 1.555.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.544.7%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Draw26.3%

Equal Goals Each Half22.4%

HT Under 0.522.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.1%

HT Both Teams Score9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT Away Win3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Away/Away0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Koper win45%

Draw45%

NSI Runavik win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Koper or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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