Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Kortrijk vs Charleroi

Kick-off 17:15 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Kortrijk 21.8% Draw 29.3% Charleroi 48.9%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 14.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charleroi: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Kortrijk 1 wins, 0 draws, Charleroi 4 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.6%

Exact-score model probability

Kortrijk

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

Charleroi

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

Kortrijk 1wins ·0 draws ·Charleroi 4wins

Kortrijk 0-1 CharleroiDec 26, 2024

Kortrijk 0-1 CharleroiAug 25, 2024

Kortrijk 1-3 CharleroiMay 11, 2024

Kortrijk 1-2 CharleroiApr 14, 2024

Kortrijk 1-0 CharleroiFeb 3, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kortrijk win21.8%

Draw29.3%

Charleroi win48.9%

Over 1.5 goals68.3%

Over 2.5 goals58.6%

Over 3.5 goals20.2%

Both teams to score46.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.5%

Draw or Away (X2)

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.4%

Draw No Bet - Away86.8%

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Away Win69.8%

Both Halves Over 0.552.8%

Goal in Both Halves52.8%

Home or Draw (1X)30.2%

Draw19.6%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Draw No Bet - Home13.2%

Home Win10.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals73.6%

Under 3.5 Goals73.2%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.8%

4+ Goals26.8%

Under 1.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)60.0%

Away Clean Sheet53.6%

Home Team to Score46.4%

Away Win to Nil46.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.0%

Home Clean Sheet13.6%

Home Win to Nil6.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.4%

Away Over 1.559.2%

Home Exactly 053.6%

Home Over 0.546.4%

Home Exactly 133.4%

Away Over 2.532.2%

Away 3+ Goals32.2%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 013.6%

Home Over 1.513.0%

Home Exactly 210.4%

Home Over 2.52.5%

Home 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)55.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home55.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)44.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away44.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home30.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.7%

Away to win by 125.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.6%

Away to win by 3+22.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.5%

Away to win by 221.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%

Home to win by 18.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.1%

Home to win by 22.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.5%

Home to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS46.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.542.3%

Away & Over 2.540.7%

BTTS & Over 2.531.0%

Away & Under 2.529.1%

Away & BTTS23.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.6%

Draw & Under 2.516.4%

Draw & BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Home & No BTTS6.3%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Home & Over 2.54.6%

Home & BTTS4.3%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.2%

HT Under 1.567.1%

HT Away Win49.8%

HT/FT Away/Away45.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT Draw39.0%

HT Over 1.532.9%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away21.5%

HT Both Teams Score14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.1%

HT Home Win11.2%

HT/FT Home/Home5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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