Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Kortrijk 27.4% Draw 28.2% KV Mechelen 44.5%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Kortrijk: 7 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Kortrijk 1 wins, 0 draws, KV Mechelen 4 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Kortrijk

L L D W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

KV Mechelen

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

Kortrijk 1wins ·0 draws ·KV Mechelen 4wins

Kortrijk 3-1 KV MechelenNov 29, 2024

Kortrijk 0-3 KV MechelenOct 20, 2024

Kortrijk 0-3 KV MechelenFeb 24, 2024

Kortrijk 0-3 KV MechelenNov 26, 2023

Kortrijk 2-3 KV MechelenJan 21, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Kortrijk win27.4%

Draw28.2%

KV Mechelen win44.5%

Over 1.5 goals74.8%

Over 2.5 goals92.6%

Over 3.5 goals26.8%

Both teams to score72.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.6%

Goal in Both Halves84.6%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home or Draw (1X)80.2%

Draw No Bet - Home77.3%

Home Win65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)34.2%

Draw No Bet - Away22.7%

Away Win19.1%

Draw15.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals87.8%

Over 3.5 Goals74.4%

4+ Goals74.4%

Under 5.5 Goals60.2%

Over 4.5 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals42.7%

Over 5.5 Goals39.8%

2-4 Goals38.4%

3-4 Goals30.5%

Under 3.5 Goals25.6%

1-3 Goals24.3%

2-3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals13.4%

Under 2.5 Goals12.2%

1-2 Goals10.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.8%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score83.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.6%

Home Clean Sheet15.7%

Home Win to Nil15.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil3.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Away Over 0.583.6%

Home Over 1.583.2%

Home Over 2.562.9%

Home 3+ Goals62.9%

Away Over 1.554.6%

Away Exactly 129.0%

Away Over 2.527.9%

Away 3+ Goals27.9%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Away Exactly 015.7%

Home Exactly 112.4%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.1%

Home to win by 3+30.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 110.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 25.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.6%

Away to win by 3+3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.8%

Home & Over 2.560.0%

Home & BTTS50.0%

Away & Over 2.517.0%

Away & BTTS15.9%

Home & No BTTS15.1%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Away & No BTTS3.2%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.0%

HT Over 1.567.0%

HT Home Win52.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT/FT Home/Home45.6%

HT Both Teams Score43.4%

HT Under 1.533.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw26.5%

HT Away Win21.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT/FT Away/Away11.2%

HT Under 0.510.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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